SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: US PRESIDENT TRUMP ANNOUNCED STIMULUS CHECKS FOR US CITIZENS?
- BREAKING (NOVEMBER 9): U.S. PRESIDENT TRUMP PROMISED $2,000 TARIFF DIVIDEND TO MOST AMERICANS. President Trump said a dividend of at least $2000 a person (not including high-income people!) will be paid to everyone. President Trump will use the high tariff revenue to distribute stimulus checks to most Americans in the form of a tariff dividend.
- POTENTIAL CONSEQUENCES: POTENTIALLY $360 BILLION TO BE INJECTED BACK INTO THE US ECONOMY. If the US administration distributed $2,000 checks to at least 180 million Americans, it would mean that $360 billion could re-enter the US economy in the form of spending and consumption. This would increase the money supply significantly, put negative pressure on the US dollar, pushing investors towards safer instruments such as gold or silver.
- LAST TIME US GOVERNMENT STARTED DISTRIBUTING STIMULUS CHECKS (MARCH -APRIL 2020): SILVER PRICES ROSE 14.96%. Back on March 17, 2020, the US administration announced the first of three stimulus check rounds in total, which kicked in already in April 2020. It was worth $1,200. From March 17, 2020, to April 30, 2020, silver prices rose to $14.919 from $12.977, marking an increase of 14.96%.
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
US FEDERAL RESERVE:
- BREAKING (OCTOBER 29): US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT INTEREST RATE TO 4.00% FROM 4.25%. The Fed cut rates again in October after the one earlier in September. In total, this year, rates have fallen from 4.50% to the current 4.00%.
- NEXT: DECEMBER 10: The US Federal Reserve is expected to finish the year 2025 by cutting the rates to 3.75% on December 10.
- FED CHAIR JEROME POWELL'S TERM ENDS IN MAY 2026, BUT U.S. PRESIDENT TRUMP MAY ANNOUNCE THE POTENTIAL SUCCESSOR BY THE END OF 2025. The US administration has already announced the 5 candidates that could replace Mr. Powell as the next Fed Chair. According to ABC News, the five people under consideration are: Federal Reserve governors Christopher Waller and Michelle Bowman; former Fed governor Kevin Warsh; White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett; and Rick Rieder, senior managing director at asset manager BlackRock.
PRICE ACTION:
- ANALYSTS’ OPINION: UBS forecasts $55; BANK OF AMERICA forecasts $65. ANZ forecasts $57.5.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- SUPPORT: $50 - $48. After it bounced off the level of $48, the silver price has managed to restore its previous psychological support area between $50 and $48.
- UPTREND SINCE JANUARY 2025: After the March-April price pullback, silver prices have reinstated their uptrend, as depicted by the daily chart below and the solid uptrend line on the same chart. Since the beginning of 2025, the silver price has been rising solidly, hitting a fresh all-time high in October ($54.454), marking an increase of around 88%. However, it could also decline.
GRAPH (Daily): May 2025 – November 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
SILVER, November 12, 2025.
Current Price: 51.50
|
SILVER |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
57.50 |
|
|
55.00 |
|
|
53.50 |
|
|
49.70 |
|
|
49.40 |
|
|
49.00 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
SILVER |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
60,000 |
35,000 |
20,000 |
-18,000 |
-21,000 |
-25,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
51,847 |
30,244 |
17,282 |
-15,554 |
-18,146 |
-21,603 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
45,749 |
26,687 |
15,250 |
-13,725 |
-16,012 |
-19,062 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
84,090 |
49,053 |
28,030 |
-25,227 |
-29,432 |
-35,038 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT) 12/11/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.