العقود مقابل الفروقات أدوات مالية معقّدة وتنطوي على مخاطر عالية قد تؤدي إلى خسارة الأموال بسرعة بسبب الرافعة المالية. ينبغي عليك التأكّد مما إذا كنت تفهم كيفية عمل العقود مقابل الفروقات، وأنك قادر على تحمّل المخاطر العالية المترتّبة على خسارة أموالك.
September 30, 2022
October 2022 EVENTS
Top officials from the Conservative party and its members gather. Prime Minister Truss and Chancellor Kwarteng will give speeches about policy.
Possible influence: Volatile UK Pound and UK Stocks
August's ISM Manufacturing PMI printed at 52.8. The consensus forecast for September is 52.0.
Possible influence: Volatile US Dollar, Gold and US Stocks
The Reserve Bank of Australia will meet to decide about interest rates. The rate is currently 2.35%. It was last changed at their September meeting when it was increased by 50 basis points.
Possible Influence: Volatile AUD
OPEC+ is scheduled to hold their next meeting on October 5th. OPEC+ is made up of the original OPEC cartel plus Russia.
Possible influence: Volatile Oil, Natural Gas, Gasoline
The Unemployment rate for August was 3.7%. It is expected to remain the same at 3.7% for September. Non-Farm Payrolls are expected to fall to 250,000 for September, lower than August’s figure of 315,000.
Possible Influence: Volatile US Dollar, Gold and US Stocks
Core CPI (excluding food and energy) was 6.3%, Year-over-Year in August. September’s Core CPI is expected to climb to 6.05%, Year-over-Year. Top-line CPI for August came in at 8.3%, Year-over-Year and is forecast to remain the same for September at 8.3%, Year-over-Year.
Possible Influence: Volatile US Dollar, Gold and US Stocks
Retail Sales rose 0.3%, Month-over-Month, in August. Retail Sales for September are forecast to increase 0.5%, Month-over-Month.
Possible Influence: Volatile US Dollar, Gold and US Stocks
3rd Quarter Earnings seasons commences in mid-October, starting with the banks and ending with some of the big tech names towards the end of the month. Companies reporting quarterly financials in October include: Wells Fargo, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Tesla, American Airlines, Intel, General Motors, Google, AMD, Microsoft, Boeing, Apple, Chevron, Amazon, and dozens of others.
Delegates will meet to elect the Central Committee and approve the membership of the Politburo and Standing COmmittee. President Xi Jinping is expected to be re-elected as President.
Possible Influence: Volatile Currencies, Commodities, and Stocks
● Bank of Canada Meeting (October 26th at 15:00 GMT+1)
The central bank will meet to discuss interest rates and policy. The current interest rate is 3.25%.
Possible influence: Volatile Canadian dollar
● European Central Bank Meeting (October 27th at 13:15 GMT+1)
The ECB will meet to set interest rates and to discuss policy on October 8th. The Eurozone deposit rate is currently at 0.75% and the central bank seems likely to follow other major central banks by raising rates to control inflation.
Possible Influence: Volatile EUR and European stocks
U.S. GDP fell at an annual rate of 0.6% in the 2nd Quarter, U.S. 3rd Quarter GDP is expected to rise 0.3%.
Possible Influence: Volatile US Dollar, Gold and US Stocks
The Bank of Japan meets to set rates which are expected to remain at -0.10%
Possible Influence: Volatile Japanese Yen
The War in Ukraine entered a new phase in September. Ukraine staged counter offensives which allowed it to regain about 20% of the territory lost to Russia since the beginning of the war. Russia administered sham elections in four of Ukraine’s Eastern provinces that it occupies to join the Russian Federation. The results were in favor of joining Russia. The Russian parliament is expected to formally accept these Ukraine provinces into Russia on October 4th. There are no signs of any diplomatic settlement to this conflict at the present time.
Possible Influence: Volatile US Dollar, Natural Gas, Wheat, Volatile Russian Ruble, Gold, Oil, Palladium, and US Stocks