Risk Disclaimer: The example below is for illustrative purposes only and is based on price movements derived from Contracts for Difference (CFDs). The calculations reflect hypothetical outcomes using historical or specified price data for the relevant instrument on the stated date and are not indicative of future performance. Any reliance placed on this material is strictly at the user’s own risk.
Taiwan Semiconductor (#TAIWANSM) Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
CHIP INDUSTRY
- MARKET POTENTIAL: The global semiconductor market was valued at $520 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach a value of $1.0 to 1.3 trillion by 2030. This is an increase of around 92% to 150% in total, with an average annual growth rate of approximately 8.9% to 11.9%.
- TAIWAN MARKET SHARE (2024): According to Statista.com, Taiwan Semiconductor market share was 61.7% in 2024, followed by Samsung (11%).
TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR: THE COMPANY
- Taiwan Semiconductor is a global leader in semiconductor fabrication and makes the vast majority of the world’s leading-edge logic chips, used in emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence. Its focus on areas such as artificial intelligence and automotive technology positions the company as a strategic partner for innovative companies seeking cutting-edge solutions.
- DEPENDENCE OF LARGE TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES: Nvidia is one of Taiwan Semiconductor´s main customers. Of Taiwan Semiconductor revenues, about 10% are contributed by Nvidia, 25% by Apple, 6.5% by Broadcom, 6.5% by Qualcomm, 5.5% by AMD. In other words, more than 50% of Taiwan Semiconductor´s sales come from large and well-known customers (Apple, Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD and Qualcomm).
TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR: NEWS AND EVENTS
- EVENT (THURSDAY, JANUARY 16, PREMARKET): Q4 EARNINGS REPORT. Taiwan Semiconductor is expected to print $26.33 billion in revenue for Q4 of 2024. This is an increase of 34% from the same period last year ($19.62 billion). In addition, the company is expected to post Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $2.18, which would be an increase of 51% from the same period last year ($1.44).
- COMPANY EARNINGS PERFORMANCE (LAST 6 QUARTERS): According to Bloomberg, Taiwan Semiconductor has beaten earnings expectations 5 times over the past 6 quarters, and beaten revenue expectations 5 times over the past 6 quarters.
- LAST TIME (Q3 EARNINGS RELEASED ON OCTOBER 17, 2024): Taiwan Semiconductor beat revenue estimates of 23.345 billion dollars printing a figure of 23.52 billion dollars for Q3 of 2024. Meanwhile, the company printed Net Income of $10.07 billion, beating analysts’ estimates for $9.29 billion. STOCK PERFORMANCE ON OCTOBER 17, 2024: The stock rose 13.48% to hit a session high of $212.14, up from its open price of $186.94.
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future performance.
- DONALD TRUMP ANNOUNCES $20 BILLION FOREIGN INVESTMENTS TO BUILD NEW U.S. DATA CENTERS. President-elect Donald Trump announced a $20 billion foreign investment to build new data centers in the United States. Emirati billionaire Hussain Sajwani, a Trump associate and founder of the property development company DAMAC Properties, is pledging the money, Trump said.
STOCK PRICE ACTION:
- STOCK PRICE ACTION: Taiwan Semiconductor stock hit an all-time high of $222.20 on January 6, 2025. The current price stands at $207. If the Sequehanna forecast ($265) is realized, this would provide an upside potential of around 28%. However, it could also decline.
- ANALYST OPINION: Sequehanna forecasts $265. Goldman Sachs forecasts $254. HSBC forecasts $250.
#TAIWANSM, January 9, 2025
Current Price: 207
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
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TAIWANSM
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Pivot Points
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Resistance 3
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Resistance 2
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Resistance 1
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Support 1
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Support 2
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Support 3
|
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Profit or loss in $
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73,000.00
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43,000.00
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21,000.00
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-17,000.00
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-22,000.00
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-27,000.00
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|
Profit or loss in €2
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70,871.72
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41,746.36
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20,387.76
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-16,504.37
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-21,358.60
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-26,212.83
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|
Profit or loss in £2
|
59,389.43
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34,982.81
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17,084.63
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-13,830.41
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-17,898.18
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-21,965.95
|
|
Profit or loss in C$2
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105,070.74
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61,890.99
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30,225.83
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-24,468.53
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-31,665.16
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-38,861.78
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- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:45 (GMT) 09/01/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.
