Alibaba (#ALIBABA)

Posebna poročila - 09/05/2024

09 maj, 2024

Spodnji pimer uporablja Pogodbe o razliki (CFD pogodbe). Kalkulacije se nanašajo na ceno določenega instrumenta na spodaj omenjeni dan ter kažejo na morebitno priložnost za dobiček ali izgubo. Ni nobenih zagotovil ali jamstev glede točnosti in popolnosti teh informacij, zato vsaka oseba, ki jo vodijo te informacije, to stori na lastno odgovornost.

Alibaba (#ALIBABA) weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:

ALIBABA: COMPANY

ALIBABA IS THE ONE OF THE LARGEST E-COMMERCE IN THE WORLD:
E-COMMERCE MARKET SHARE (COUNTRY) China is estimated to claim 52.1% of the global market, USA with 19%, UK with 4.8% and Japan with 3.0%. Rest of the world covers 21.1%.
E-COMMERCE MARKET SHARE (COMPANY) Alibaba (Taobao and Tmall) claimed 24.00%, while Amazon took up 13% of the global e- commerce market. JD.com claimed 9.20% of the market.
ALIBABA IN THE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) WORLD: Alibaba has showed off its generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) model (Tongyi Qianwen) (its version of the tech that powers Chabot sensation ChatGPT), and said it would be integrated into all of the company's apps in the near future. They have also invested into separate A.I. start- up, valued at 2.5 billion dollars, which specializes in social A.I.

CHINA: RECENT ECONOMIC DATA

APRIL 16: CHINA GDP (Q1) AT 5.3% (PREVIOUS 5.2%). The Chinese economy exceeded expectations in the first quarter, with growth reaching 5.3% compared to the anticipated 4.8% and, more importantly, it grew strongly than the Q4 (5.2%). That gave investors indications that recent government and monetary policy measures to support growth worked. This in turn has had positive impact on investors’ sentiment, providing support also to the Chinese stocks such as Alibaba.

ALIBABA: ANALYSIS AND EVENTS

EVENT (MAY 14, TUESDAY, PREMARKET): Q1 EARNINGS REPORT. According to Bloomberg, Alibaba is expected to report 30.35 billion dollars in revenue and net income of 3.6 billion dollars. The Earnings Per Share figure is expected to come in at $0.84. Alibaba has beaten revenue expectations 5 times over the 8 past quarters. The company has beaten earnings expectations 6 times over the past 8 quarters.
ALIBABA STOCK PRICE CHANGE SINCE A.I. EUPHORIA BEGAN (SECOND HALF OF 2022): LAST 6 QUARTERS. The table below shows that the Alibaba stock rose on average 5.16% in the period of one week before the earnings date. This could be fundamentally explained by Alibaba being involved in the A.I. platform creation and therefore expectations for positive announcements regarding the latest versions of Alibaba’s A.I. platforms.

Source: Bloomberg Terminal

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

ALIBABA: TECHNICAL REVIEW

ALIBABA STOCK AT ITS LONG-TERM SUPPORT AREA ($60- $70). This was the fourth time to test the area. After testing the support of $70, Alibaba would tend to come back up to $120 (tested three time since February 2022).

However, please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

Graph: Alibaba stock (2014- 2024); Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform

ANALYSTS OPINIONS: Goldman Sachs forecasts $102. JPMorgan forecasts $100. HSBC forecasts $114. Barclays forecasts $109. Citigroup forecasts $124.

#ALIBABA, May 9, 2024
Current Price:77

Alibaba	Weekly
Trend direction	UP
Resistance 3	120
Resistance 2	100
Resistance 1	85
Support 1	70
Support 2	68
Support 3	66

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot¹

Alibaba
Pivot Points	Resistance 3	Resistance 2	Resistance 1	Support 1	Support 2	Support 3
Profit or loss in $	43,000	23,000	8,000	-7,000	-9,000	-11,000
Profit or loss in €²	39,995	21,393	7,441	-6,511	-8,371	-10,231
Profit or loss in £²	34,430	18,416	6,406	-5,605	-7,206	-8,808
Profit or loss in C$²	59,109	31,616	10,997	-9,622	-12,372	-15,121

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 06:00 (GMT+1) 09/05/2024

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Risk warning Privacy policy

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

Risk warning Privacy policy

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex and highly speculative instruments, which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing all your invested capital. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. These products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks and seek independent advice. Should you proceed with investment in CFDs on virtual currencies, please note, that the values are highly volatile and may result in a significant loss for a short period of time. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. The information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States or Belgium and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

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Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Be aware, as a retail client you can lose all, but not more than the balance of your trading account due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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CFD so zapleteni instrumenti in predstavljajo tveganje za hitro izgubijo denarja, zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 77% maloprodajnih računov investitorjev izgubi denar pri trgovanju CFD s tem ponudnikom. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Svoja sredstva lahko izgubite, vendar zgolj v višini vašega depozita. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. To gradivo ni ne ponudba, ne povpraševanje in ne transakcija glede kateregakoli financnega instrumenta. Fortrade ne sprejme nobene odgovornosti za kakršnokoli uporabo teh komentarjev in tudi ne za posledice, ki lahko iz tega izvirajo. Ni nikakršnega zagotovila in ne garancije glede tocnosti ali popolnosti teh podatkov. Posledicno vsaka oseba, ki se ravna po njih, to dela popolnoma na lastno odgovornost.

Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Pogodbe za razliko (CFD-ji) in finančni trgi z maržo so produkti z vzvodom ter predstavljajo visoko stopnjo tveganja za vaš kapital. Trgujte zgolj z denarjem, ki ga lahko izgubite. Zavedati se morate, da: Lahko izgubite vse, toda ne več od stanja na vašem računu za trgovanje. Niste lastnik ter nimate nobenih pravic do osnovnih finančnih instrumentov. Pretekli rezultati niso zagotovilo za rezultate v prihodnosti. To so splošne informacije in ne predstavljajo nasveta glede finančnih produktov. Vsi nasveti, navedeni na tej spletni strani, ali ki vam jih nudi družba Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd, so zgolj splošni nasveti ter so bili sestavljeni brez obzira na vaše cilje, finančno situacijo ali potrebe. Preden sprejmete odločitev na podlagi katerihkoli informacij morate razmisliti o primernosti navedenih informacij ter o naravi ustreznega finančnega produkta glede na svoje cilje, finančno situacijo in potrebe. Svetujemo vam, da poiščete neodvisno finančno svetovanje ter upoštevate naš Priročnik za finančne storitve (FSG) in Izjavo o razkritju produktov (PDS), preden se odločite za sodelovanje ali nakup finančnih produktov z naše strani.

Informacije na tej strani niso namenjene prebivalcem Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije, prav tako niso namenjene distribuciji ali uporabi s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer takšna distribucija ali uporaba ne bi bila skladna z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Fort Securities Australia PTY. LTD. (T/A Fortrade Australia) | ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL number: 493520.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Družbo Fortrade Cyprus Ltd ureja in nadzoruje Ciprska komisija za vrednostne papirje in borzo s številko licence CIF 385/20.

Opozorilo o tveganju: Pogodbe za razliko (CFD-ji) so zapleteni instrumenti, ki zaradi vzvoda vključujejo visoko stopnjo tveganja, da hitro izgubite denar. Razmisliti morate o tem, če razumete pogodbe za razliko in če si lahko privoščite tveganje, da izgubite ves denar. Ne pozabite: izgubite lahko vse, vendar ne več od stanja na vašem računu za trgovanje. 76% računov majhnih vlagateljev na drobno izgubi denar pri trgovanju s CFD-ji pri tem ponudniku. Ti produkti morda niso primerni za vse stranke, zato zagotovite, da razumete tveganja in poiščite neodvisen nasvet. Če bi nadaljevali z investicijo v virtualno valuto CFD upoštevajte, da so vrednosti izredno spremenljive in lahko predstavljajo velike izgube v zelo kratkem časovnem obdobju. To gradivo ne predstavlja ponudbe ali napeljevanja k nakupu kateregakoli finančnega instrumenta. Fortrade ne sprejema odgovornosti za uporabe teh informacij in za morebitne posledice. Ne podajamo zagotovil ali jamstev glede točnosti ali popolnosti teh informacij; posledično vsaka oseba, ki sprejema odločitve na podlagi teh informacij, to počne na lastno tveganje. Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce ZDA, ali Belgija ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Pooblaščena za in ureja Komisija za finančne storitve, Mauritius (FSC), številka investicijskega trgovca SEC-2.1B: GB21026472.

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni instrumenti z visokim nivojem tveganja izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. Imejte v mislih, da lahko izgubite vsa sredstva, toda ne več kot imate na svojem trgovalnem računu, zaradi zaščite pred negativno bilanco, ki Vam jo zagotavlja Fortrade.

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