COPPER

Posebna poročila - 13/08/2025

13 avgust, 2025

Spodnji pimer uporablja Pogodbe o razliki (CFD pogodbe). Kalkulacije se nanašajo na ceno določenega instrumenta na spodaj omenjeni dan ter kažejo na morebitno priložnost za dobiček ali izgubo. Ni nobenih zagotovil ali jamstev glede točnosti in popolnosti teh informacij, zato vsaka oseba, ki jo vodijo te informacije, to stori na lastno odgovornost.

Copper Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

14-DAY RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX (RSI) POINTS TO WEAKENED COPPER PRICE MOMENTUM: According to the daily chart below, the 14-Day RSI is trading near the 30 level, a threshold for an oversold territory, reflecting weaker recent price performance. Therefore, a price recovery could be expected next, although prices could go in the other direction as well.
STRONG SUPPORT AT $4: Copper prices have tested the mark of $4 in total of 5 times since August 2024. This technical indicator indicates that the current downside potential remains limited, although if prices break below $4, then a negative trend could be observed.
COPPER PRICE HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $5.9552 (July 24, 2025): The copper price currently trades around $4.52, and if a full recovery occurs, then copper prices could see an upside of around 32%. Although price could decline, too.
COPPER PRICE HAS TESTED ITS LOWEST PRICE IN 3 AND A HALF MONTHS ($4.3302): After the most recent pullback of copper prices, losing more than 20% over two days, copper prices have tested their lowest levels in 3 and a half months ($4.3302).

GRAPH (Daily): June 2024 - August 2025

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

GEOPOLITICS: US TARIFFS

BREAKING (JULY 31): US PRESIDENT TRUMP ANNOUNCED 50% TARIFFS ON COPPER IMPORTS TO TAKE EFFECT AUGUST 1. US President Trump confirmed that a 50% tariff on some copper imports will be implemented, with enforcement beginning on August 1.

IMPORTANCE: U.S.A. RELIES ON IMPORTS FOR 45% OF ITS COPPER CONSUMPTION. The U.S. relies on imports for 45% of its copper consumption, and a 50% tariff could disrupt supply chains.

GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA – UKRAINE WAR

EVENT (FRIDAY, AUGUST 15): U.S. PRESIDENT TRUMP AND RUSSIAN PRESIDENT PUTIN MEETING IN ALASKA (USA): Following earlier threats of 100% secondary tariffs on countries importing Russian goods if no Russia–Ukraine ceasefire was reached by August 8, President Trump will now meet with President Putin in Alaska to discuss ending the conflict. Talks are expected to focus on potential territorial swaps, but with Russia demanding recognition of control over occupied territories, and Ukraine firmly rejecting those demands, markets see little chance of meaningful progress.

RUSSIA IS THE 4TH LARGEST REFINED COPPER EXPORTER IN THE WORLD. Russia is the 4th largest refined copper exporter in the world after Chile, Japan, and Australia. Russia’s refined copper is exported to China, Turkey, Italy, Egypt, and Germany.

TRADE: OPTIMISM PREVAILS

BREAKING (AUGUST 11): US PRESIDENT TRUMP EXTENDED CHINA TARIFF TRUCE FOR ANOTHER 90 DAYS UNTIL MID-NOVEMBER. President Donald Trump signed an executive order delaying the reinstatement of higher U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods for an additional 90 days, moving the deadline to mid-November 2025.

EVENTS:

FRIDAY, AUGUST 15 AT 03:00 GMT+1: CHINA INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (JULY): A strong result in China’s industrial production would reinforce optimism for copper demand, as expanding factory and manufacturing activity typically drives higher copper consumption. With China being the world’s largest consumer of copper, continued industrial growth would further strengthen the bullish momentum in copper prices.
FRIDAY, AUGUST 15 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US RETAIL SALES (JULY). A lower-than-expected reading could be positive for U.S. stock prices, as it could indicate that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates sooner and more aggressively. Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of sales at the retail level.

COPPER, August 13, 2025.
Current Price: 4.52

COPPER	Weekly
Trend direction	UP
Resistance 3	6.00
Resistance 2	5.50
Resistance 1	5.00
Support 1	4.20
Support 2	4.10
Support 3	4.00

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot¹

COPPER
Pivot Points	Resistance 3	Resistance 2	Resistance 1	Support 1	Support 2	Support 3
Profit or loss in $	14,800	9,800	4,800	-3,200	-4,200	-5,200
Profit or loss in €²	12,619	8,356	4,093	-2,728	-3,581	-4,434
Profit or loss in £²	10,903	7,219	3,536	-2,357	-3,094	-3,831
Profit or loss in C$²	20,358	13,480	6,602	-4,402	-5,777	-7,153

1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 000 units
Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:30 (GMT+1) 13/08/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit

You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
Trailing stop technique could protect the profit

Fortrade Ltd is authorised and regulated in the UK by FCA under the licence number 609970.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

Risk warning Privacy policy

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd (T/A Fortrade Australia) |ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL: 493520

Risk warning Privacy policy

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

Risk warning Privacy policy

Fortrade Canada Limited, 1200 Waterfront Centre, 200 Burrard Street, P.O. Box 48600, Vancouver BC V7X 1T2, Canada. Email: [email protected]
Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the CIRO website.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70.41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd is regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20. CFD products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

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Authorised and regulated by Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (FSC), SEC-2.1B investment dealer number: GB21026472.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: All CFDs, including cryptocurrency CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Be aware, as a retail client you can lose all, but not more than the balance of your trading account due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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CFD so zapleteni instrumenti in predstavljajo tveganje za hitro izgubijo denarja, zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 70% maloprodajnih računov investitorjev izgubi denar pri trgovanju CFD s tem ponudnikom. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Svoja sredstva lahko izgubite, vendar zgolj v višini vašega depozita. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. To gradivo ni ne ponudba, ne povpraševanje in ne transakcija glede kateregakoli financnega instrumenta. Fortrade ne sprejme nobene odgovornosti za kakršnokoli uporabo teh komentarjev in tudi ne za posledice, ki lahko iz tega izvirajo. Ni nikakršnega zagotovila in ne garancije glede tocnosti ali popolnosti teh podatkov. Posledicno vsaka oseba, ki se ravna po njih, to dela popolnoma na lastno odgovornost.

Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Opozorilo o tveganju: Pogodbe za razliko (CFD-ji) in finančni trgi z maržo so produkti z vzvodom ter predstavljajo visoko stopnjo tveganja za vaš kapital. Trgujte zgolj z denarjem, ki ga lahko izgubite. Zavedati se morate, da: Lahko izgubite vse, toda ne več od stanja na vašem računu za trgovanje. Niste lastnik ter nimate nobenih pravic do osnovnih finančnih instrumentov. Pretekli rezultati niso zagotovilo za rezultate v prihodnosti. To so splošne informacije in ne predstavljajo nasveta glede finančnih produktov. Vsi nasveti, navedeni na tej spletni strani, ali ki vam jih nudi družba Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd, so zgolj splošni nasveti ter so bili sestavljeni brez obzira na vaše cilje, finančno situacijo ali potrebe. Preden sprejmete odločitev na podlagi katerihkoli informacij morate razmisliti o primernosti navedenih informacij ter o naravi ustreznega finančnega produkta glede na svoje cilje, finančno situacijo in potrebe. Svetujemo vam, da poiščete neodvisno finančno svetovanje ter upoštevate naš Priročnik za finančne storitve (FSG) in Izjavo o razkritju produktov (PDS), preden se odločite za sodelovanje ali nakup finančnih produktov z naše strani.

Informacije na tej strani niso namenjene prebivalcem Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije, prav tako niso namenjene distribuciji ali uporabi s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer takšna distribucija ali uporaba ne bi bila skladna z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Fort Securities Australia PTY. LTD. (T/A Fortrade Australia) | ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL number: 493520.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni finančni instrumenti, ki zaradi vzvoda prinašajo visoko tveganje hitre izgube denarja. 70.41% malih vlagateljev izgubi denar pri trgovanju s CFD-ji pri tem ponudniku. Premislite, ali razumete, kako CFD-ji delujejo, in ali si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje izgube svojega denarja. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd je reguliran in nadzorovan s strani Ciprske komisije za vrednostne papirje in borzo (CySEC) z licenco CIF številka 385/20. CFD-ji morda niso primerni za vse stranke, zato poskrbite, da razumete tveganja, povezana z njimi, in poiščite neodvisni nasvet. To gradivo ne predstavlja ponudbe ali povabila k sklenitvi transakcije s katerim koli finančnim instrumentom. Fortrade ne prevzema odgovornosti za kakršno koli uporabo teh informacij in za posledice, ki iz tega izhajajo. Prav tako ni podano nobeno zagotovilo ali jamstvo glede točnosti ali celovitosti teh informacij; posledično vsakdo, ki deluje na podlagi teh informacij, to počne izključno na lastno odgovornost.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Pooblaščena za in ureja Komisija za finančne storitve, Mauritius (FSC), številka investicijskega trgovca SEC-2.1B: GB21026472.

Opozorilo o tveganju: Vsi CFD-ji, vključno s CFD-ji na kriptovalute, so kompleksni instrumenti in vključujejo visoko tveganje hitre izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. Zavedajte se, da lahko kot maloprodajni uporabnik izgubite vse, vendar ne več kot stanje na svojem trgovalnem računu, zaradi zaščite pred negativnim saldom pri Fortrade.

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