Crude Oil

Posebna poročila - 07/05/2024

07 maj, 2024

Spodnji pimer uporablja Pogodbe o razliki (CFD pogodbe). Kalkulacije se nanašajo na ceno določenega instrumenta na spodaj omenjeni dan ter kažejo na morebitno priložnost za dobiček ali izgubo. Ni nobenih zagotovil ali jamstev glede točnosti in popolnosti teh informacij, zato vsaka oseba, ki jo vodijo te informacije, to stori na lastno odgovornost.

Crude Oil weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

GEOPOLITICS: MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS KEEP MARKETS NERVOUS

MAY 7: ISRAEL FORCES ATTACK RAFAH, TAKING CONTROL OF THE CROSSING BETWEEN GAZA AND EGYPT. According to Reuters, Israeli tanks and planes attacked several areas and houses in Rafah. The Israeli military took control of the vital Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt on Tuesday (May 7). Earlier, the Israeli forces began evacuation of the Gazans in Rafah in preparation for an invasion. Israel’s military intends to direct a significant portion of Rafah’s population of 1.4 million toward humanitarian islands in central Gaza ahead of Israel’s planned ground offensive.
CRUDE OIL PRICE REACTION TO ISRAEL- HAMAS WAR SINCE OCTOBER 7, 2023:

CRUDE OIL
PERIOD	NEWS	PRICE CHANGE %	PRICE CHANGE $
OCTOBER 7, 2023 - OCTOBER 20, 2023	WAR STARTS BETWEEN ISRAEL AND IRAN-BACKED HAMAS	8.47%	$ 7.08
FEBRUARY 5, 2024 - MARCH 1, 2024	ESCALATION AS ISRAEL PREPARES A PLAN TO INVADE RAFAH	12.25%	$ 8.82
APRIL 1, 2024 - APRIL 12, 2024	ISRAEL - IRAN WAR CONFLICT WITH STATE-TO-STATE ATTACKS	7.23%	$ 5.91

NEWS SOURCE: BLOOMBERG

PRICE DATA SOURCE: META TRADER 4 PLATFORM

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

ANALYST EXPECTATIONS

CITIGROUP: OIL COULD HIT $100 WITHIN THE NEXT 12- 18 MONTHS. According to CNBC, the catalysts for oil to hit $100 per barrel include higher geopolitical risks, deeper OPEC+ cuts and supply disruptions from key oil-producing regions.
GOLDMAN SACHS SEES OIL AT $100 if a more severe conflict between Iran and Israel occurs.
JP MORGAN SEES OIL AT $100 BY SEPTEMBER. Moscow’s decision to reduce oil output is likely to drive the price of oil to $100 a barrel this year unless other suppliers take action, J.P. Morgan Global Commodities Research said Wednesday in a report.
BANK OF AMERICA SEES OIL AT $95. According to Yahoo Finance, the bank raised its oil price forecast for several reasons, including increased geopolitical tensions between Western nations and the oil-producing countries of Russia, Iran, and Venezuela.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: FORMER RESISTANCE COULD BECOME NEXT SUPPORT

FORMER RESISTANCE OF $80, COULD BE NEXT SUPPORT OF $80. After breaking above the mark of $80, which used to be strong resistance for a long time, Crude oil prices could see the same level of strong support, as crude oil prices have traded above the mark since late February 2024.

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

CRUDE OIL ABOVE $80: Crude oil has traded above or near the mark of $80 for around two months, finding strong technical support at $80.

GRAPH: Weekly (October 2021- May 2024)

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

Crude Oil, May 7, 2024
Current Price: 78.50

Crude Oil	Weekly
Trend direction	UP
Resistance 3	100.00
Resistance 2	90.00
Resistance 1	84.00
Support 1	74.00
Support 2	73.50
Support 3	73.00

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot¹

Crude Oil
Pivot Points	Resistance 3	Resistance 2	Resistance 1	Support 1	Support 2	Support 3
Profit or loss in $	21,500	11,500	5,500	-4,500	-5,000	-5,500
Profit or loss in €²	19,977	10,685	5,110	-4,181	-4,646	-5,110
Profit or loss in £²	17,148	9,172	4,387	-3,589	-3,988	-4,387
Profit or loss in C$²	29,406	15,729	7,523	-6,155	-6,839	-7,523

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:40 (GMT+1) 07/05/2024

Fortrade recommends the use of Stop-Loss and Take-Profit, please speak to your Senior Account ManagerClient Manager regarding their use.

You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one
Trailing stop technique can protect the profit – Ask your Senior Account ManagerClient Manager for more detail

Fortrade Ltd is authorised and regulated in the UK by FCA under the licence number 609970.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 77% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

Risk warning Privacy policy

CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS), and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Fort Securities Australia Pty. Ltd (T/A Fortrade Australia) |ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL number: 493520

Risk warning Privacy policy

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

Risk warning Privacy policy

Fortrade Canada Limited, 1200 Waterfront Centre, 200 Burrard Street, P.O. Box 48600, Vancouver BC V7X 1T2, Canada Email: [email protected]
Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the IIROC website.

Regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex and highly speculative instruments, which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing all your invested capital. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. 76% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. These products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks and seek independent advice. Should you proceed with investment in CFDs on virtual currencies, please note, that the values are highly volatile and may result in a significant loss for a short period of time. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. The information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States or Belgium and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

Risk warning | Privacy policy

Authorised and regulated by Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (FSC), SEC-2.1B investment dealer number: GB21026472.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Be aware, as a retail client you can lose all, but not more than the balance of your trading account due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

Risk warning | Privacy policy

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CFD so zapleteni instrumenti in predstavljajo tveganje za hitro izgubijo denarja, zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 77% maloprodajnih računov investitorjev izgubi denar pri trgovanju CFD s tem ponudnikom. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Svoja sredstva lahko izgubite, vendar zgolj v višini vašega depozita. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. To gradivo ni ne ponudba, ne povpraševanje in ne transakcija glede kateregakoli financnega instrumenta. Fortrade ne sprejme nobene odgovornosti za kakršnokoli uporabo teh komentarjev in tudi ne za posledice, ki lahko iz tega izvirajo. Ni nikakršnega zagotovila in ne garancije glede tocnosti ali popolnosti teh podatkov. Posledicno vsaka oseba, ki se ravna po njih, to dela popolnoma na lastno odgovornost.

Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Pogodbe za razliko (CFD-ji) in finančni trgi z maržo so produkti z vzvodom ter predstavljajo visoko stopnjo tveganja za vaš kapital. Trgujte zgolj z denarjem, ki ga lahko izgubite. Zavedati se morate, da: Lahko izgubite vse, toda ne več od stanja na vašem računu za trgovanje. Niste lastnik ter nimate nobenih pravic do osnovnih finančnih instrumentov. Pretekli rezultati niso zagotovilo za rezultate v prihodnosti. To so splošne informacije in ne predstavljajo nasveta glede finančnih produktov. Vsi nasveti, navedeni na tej spletni strani, ali ki vam jih nudi družba Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd, so zgolj splošni nasveti ter so bili sestavljeni brez obzira na vaše cilje, finančno situacijo ali potrebe. Preden sprejmete odločitev na podlagi katerihkoli informacij morate razmisliti o primernosti navedenih informacij ter o naravi ustreznega finančnega produkta glede na svoje cilje, finančno situacijo in potrebe. Svetujemo vam, da poiščete neodvisno finančno svetovanje ter upoštevate naš Priročnik za finančne storitve (FSG) in Izjavo o razkritju produktov (PDS), preden se odločite za sodelovanje ali nakup finančnih produktov z naše strani.

Informacije na tej strani niso namenjene prebivalcem Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije, prav tako niso namenjene distribuciji ali uporabi s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer takšna distribucija ali uporaba ne bi bila skladna z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Fort Securities Australia PTY. LTD. (T/A Fortrade Australia) | ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL number: 493520.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Družbo Fortrade Cyprus Ltd ureja in nadzoruje Ciprska komisija za vrednostne papirje in borzo s številko licence CIF 385/20.

Opozorilo o tveganju: Pogodbe za razliko (CFD-ji) so zapleteni instrumenti, ki zaradi vzvoda vključujejo visoko stopnjo tveganja, da hitro izgubite denar. Razmisliti morate o tem, če razumete pogodbe za razliko in če si lahko privoščite tveganje, da izgubite ves denar. Ne pozabite: izgubite lahko vse, vendar ne več od stanja na vašem računu za trgovanje. 76% računov majhnih vlagateljev na drobno izgubi denar pri trgovanju s CFD-ji pri tem ponudniku. Ti produkti morda niso primerni za vse stranke, zato zagotovite, da razumete tveganja in poiščite neodvisen nasvet. Če bi nadaljevali z investicijo v virtualno valuto CFD upoštevajte, da so vrednosti izredno spremenljive in lahko predstavljajo velike izgube v zelo kratkem časovnem obdobju. To gradivo ne predstavlja ponudbe ali napeljevanja k nakupu kateregakoli finančnega instrumenta. Fortrade ne sprejema odgovornosti za uporabe teh informacij in za morebitne posledice. Ne podajamo zagotovil ali jamstev glede točnosti ali popolnosti teh informacij; posledično vsaka oseba, ki sprejema odločitve na podlagi teh informacij, to počne na lastno tveganje. Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce ZDA, ali Belgija ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Pooblaščena za in ureja Komisija za finančne storitve, Mauritius (FSC), številka investicijskega trgovca SEC-2.1B: GB21026472.

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni instrumenti z visokim nivojem tveganja izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. Imejte v mislih, da lahko izgubite vsa sredstva, toda ne več kot imate na svojem trgovalnem računu, zaradi zaščite pred negativno bilanco, ki Vam jo zagotavlja Fortrade.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

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