EUR/USD Weekly Special Report Based on 1 Lot Calculation:
EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK:
- THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 5 AT 13:15 GMT AND 13:45 GMT: EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK INTEREST RATE DECISION & PRESS CONFERENCE. Investors will closely watch the ECB’s decision and forward guidance, as any indication of a stable monetary policy could support economic growth in the eurozone. Such signals tend to boost investor confidence and provide potential support for the EUR/USD.
- CURRENT RATE: 2.15%
- PREVIOUS CHANGE: ECB decided to cut the interest rate on June 5th, 2025, from previous 2.40% to current 2.15%.
EVENTS:
- WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 4 AT 10:00 GMT: EUROZONE INFLATION (CPI) (JANUARY). A higher-than-expected CPI reading would suggest stronger price pressures across the eurozone, reflecting solid consumer demand. Such a result could strengthen investor confidence and provide support for the EUR/USD.
- FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 6 AT 07:00 GMT: GERMAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (DECEMBER). A stronger-than-expected reading would indicate improving factory activity and manufacturing output in Germany. This would signal healthier economic momentum and could support gains in the EUR/USD.
- WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 11 AT 13:30 GMT: US INFLATION DATA (CPI) (JANUARY). A softer than expected reading could raise expectations for Fed interest-rate cuts, weaken the U.S. dollar, and potentially boost EUR/USD.
- FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 13 AT 10:00 GMT: EUROZONE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (Q4). A stronger-than-expected GDP reading would point to improving economic growth across the eurozone. Such a result could boost investor confidence and provide support for the EUR/USD.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- DAILY MOVING AVERAGES: EUR/USD is trading above its key moving averages. The 20-day moving average (red) has turned higher again, signaling renewed upside momentum. The 100-day moving average (green) continues to slope upward, reinforcing overall trend stability.
- UP-TREND SINCE NOVEMBER 2025: EUR/USD remains in a medium-term uptrend, supported by a rising long-term trendline (orange) and a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows since mid-2025.
- ANALYST OPINION: JP Morgan projects EUR/USD at 1.22 in early 2026; UBS expects the pair to rise toward 1.26 in 2026; Bank of America forecasts 1.25 during 2026; Morgan Stanley targets 1.26 by June 2026.

GRAPH (Daily): December 2024– February 2026
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
EURUSD, February 3, 2026
Current Price: 1.17900
|
EUR/USD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1.2300 |
|
|
1.2100 |
|
|
1.2000 |
|
|
1.1670 |
|
|
1.1600 |
|
|
1.1550 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
EUR/USD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
5,100 |
3,100 |
2,100 |
-1,200 |
-1,900 |
-2,400 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
4,326 |
2,629 |
1,781 |
-1,018 |
-1,612 |
-2,036 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
3,734 |
2,270 |
1,538 |
-879 |
-1,391 |
-1,757 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
6,621 |
4,024 |
2,726 |
-1,558 |
-2,467 |
-3,116 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 12:20 (GMT) 03/02/2026
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit