GER 40 Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GER 40:
- The GER40 represents the DAX 40 in Germany, which includes companies such as Adidas, Bayer, Mercedes-Benz, Deutsche Bank, Siemens, BMW, E.ON, etc. In essence, GER40 includes the most valuable and advanced companies in Germany, the largest economy in Europe.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
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- LONGER-TERM TREND LINE: The black trend line depicted by the chart below shows that GER40 prices have maintained their uptrend in general since April 2025. However, there remains a risk of a potential breakout below this level if market conditions change.
- GER40 REMAINS ABOVE 50- DAY, AND 100-DAY MOVING AVERAGES: The daily graph below shows that GER40 has remained above two, technically, crucial moving averages, indicating an ongoing uptrend. Although the trend could change if prices fall below the 50-, and 100-Day Moving Averages.
- THE GER40 HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF 24,746.1 (JULY 10, 2025).
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GRAPH (Daily): December 2024 – August 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GEOPOLITICS: TRADE DEALS AND OPTIMISM
- EVENT (TUESDAY, AUGUST 12): U.S. – CHINA TRADE AND TARIFF DEAL EXPIRES; THE DEAL IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTENDED BY ANOTHER 90 DAYS, HOWEVER. The USA and China are two top largest destinations for the German exports. In total, the US economy takes in around 11% of total German exports, while China’s economy takes in around 6% of total German exports, which amounted to around $1.7 Billion.
- BREAKING (JULY 27): U.S. AND E.U. ANNOUNCED A TRADE AGREEMENT HAS BEEN REACHED. The U.S. and European Union announced a framework trade deal that imposes a reduced 15% import tariff on most EU goods, half the initially threatened rate, and avoids a broader trade war. The agreement, which preserves key access to the U.S. market for German manufacturers, is expected to support major GER40-listed exporters such as Siemens, Volkswagen, and BASF.
GERMAN EXPORTERS BENEFIT. Key GER40-listed multinationals such as Volkswagen, Siemens, and BASF are expected to benefit from increased global demand and fewer supply chain disruptions, especially coming from Asian and European markets.
GER40: EVENTS
- WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 13 AT 7:00 GMT+1: GERMAN INFLATION (CPI) (JULY). The German inflation has remained under negative pressure falling from recent 2.6% (December 2024) to the current 2.00%. This in turn has supported further interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB). If Inflation in Germany shows another decline, it could signal the ECB next move could be yet another interest rate cut, which in turn, could provide near-term support to the GER40.
- WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 22 AT 7:00 GMT+1: GERMAN GDP (Q2). Germany will release its Q2 GDP data, with the previous figure at +0.4%. A better-than-expected result would signal solid economic momentum and could lift the GER40, especially as investors look for confirmation that domestic demand and industrial output are recovering.
GER40, August 11, 2025.
Current Price: 24,130
|
GER40 |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
26,000 |
|
|
25,500 |
|
|
24,800 |
|
|
23,500 |
|
|
23,250 |
|
|
23,000 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
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GER40 |
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Pivot Points |
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|
Profit or loss in $ |
21,773 |
15,951 |
7,801 |
-7,335 |
-10,246 |
-13,157 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
18,700 |
13,700 |
6,700 |
-6,300 |
-8,800 |
-11,300 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
16,184 |
11,856 |
5,798 |
-5,452 |
-7,616 |
-9,779 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
29,973 |
21,959 |
10,739 |
-10,098 |
-14,105 |
-18,112 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:30 (GMT+1) 11/8/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.