GER40 Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GER40:
- The GER40 represents the DAX 40 in Germany, which includes companies such as Adidas, Bayer, Mercedes-Benz, Deutsche Bank, Siemens, BMW, E.ON, etc. In essence, GER40 includes the most valuable and advanced companies in Germany, the largest economy in Europe.
GER40: EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK INTEREST RATE DECISION
- THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 5 AT 13:15 GMT AND 13:45 GMT: EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK INTEREST RATE DECISION & PRESS CONFERENCE. Investors will closely watch the ECB’s decision and forward guidance, as any indication of a stable monetary policy could support economic growth in the eurozone. Such signals tend to boost investor confidence and provide potential support for the GER40.
- CURRENT RATE: 2.15%
- PREVIOUS CHANGE: ECB decided to cut the interest rate on June 5th, 2025, from previous 2.40% to current 2.15%.
GER40: EVENTS
- WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 4 AT 10:00 GMT: EUROZONE INFLATION (CPI) (JANUARY). A higher-than-expected CPI reading would suggest stronger price pressures across the eurozone, reflecting solid consumer demand. Such a result could strengthen investor confidence and provide support for the GER40.
- FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 6 AT 7:00 GMT: GERMAN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION (DECEMBER). A stronger-than-expected reading would indicate improving factory activity and manufacturing output in Germany. This would signal healthier economic momentum and could support gains in the GER40.
- FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 13 AT 10:00 GMT: EUROZONE GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (Q4). A stronger-than-expected GDP reading would point to improving economic growth across the eurozone. Such a result could boost investor confidence and provide support for the GER40.
- TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 17 AT 7:00 GMT: GERMAN INFLATION DATA (CPI) (JANUARY). A higher-than-expected CPI reading would indicate firmer price pressures in Germany, pointing to resilient consumer demand. Such a result could strengthen investor confidence and provide support for the GER40.
Q4 EARNING SEASON (FEBRUARY 11 – MARCH 4)
- COMMERZBANK: 2/11/26, Before Market
- MERCEDES-BENZ GROUP: 2/12/26, Before Market
- SIEMENS: 2/12/26, Before Market
- BAYER: 2/25/26, Before Market
- BASF: 2/27/26, Before Market
- ADIDAS: 3/4/26, Before Market
- CONTINENTAL: 3/4/26, Before Market
Source: Bloomberg
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
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- LONGER-TERM UPTREND: The black-lined uptrend channel depicted by the chart below shows that GER40 prices have maintained their uptrend in general since November 2025. However, there remains a risk of a potential breakout below this level if market conditions change.
- GER40 REMAINS ABOVE 50-, AND 100-DAY MOVING AVERAGES: The daily graph below shows that GER40 has remained above the 50-, and 100-Day Moving Averages, indicating an ongoing uptrend. Although the trend could change if prices fall below these moving averages.
- THE GER40 HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF 25,639.50 (JANUARY 13, 2026). Since the beginning of the year, GER40 has risen around 4% to reach this all-time high price, adding to 2025’s increase of around 23%. Although prices could fall, too.
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GRAPH (Daily): June 2025 – February 2026
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GER40, February 3, 2026
Current Price: 25,000
|
GER40 |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
26,800 |
|
|
26,200 |
|
|
25,600 |
|
|
24,450 |
|
|
24,250 |
|
|
24,000 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
GER40 |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
21,221 |
14,148 |
7,074 |
-6,484 |
-8,842 |
-11,790 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
18,000 |
12,000 |
6,000 |
-5,500 |
-7,500 |
-10,000 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
15,531 |
10,354 |
5,177 |
-4,745 |
-6,471 |
-8,628 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
29,040 |
19,360 |
9,680 |
-8,873 |
-12,100 |
-16,133 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:30 (GMT) 3/2/2026
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.