GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT
- BREAKING (OCTOBER 21): TRUMP-PUTIN PLANNED SUMMIT HAS BEEN CANCELLED. Reuters reported that a planned summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin was put on hold, as Russia's rejection of an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine cast a cloud over attempts at negotiations. President Trump commented that the summit is still possible, but he does not want a wasted meeting.
- BREAKING (OCTOBER 20): PLANNED MEETING BETWEEN U.S. SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO AND RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTER SERGEI LAVROV FOR THIS WEEK HAS BEEN PUT ON HOLD. According to CNN, the anticipated meeting between Rubio and his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov has been put on hold for the time being.
USA: GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN ENTERED ITS 22nd DAY (October 22, 2025)
- BREAKING (WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 1 AT 05:00 AM GMT+1): US GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN BEGAN WITH NO DEAL IN SIGHT. According to Reuters, President Donald Trump rebuffed a request by top Democratic lawmakers to meet until the three-week-old U.S. government shutdown ends, prolonging the saga. According to Reuters, U.S. President Donald Trump and his Democratic opponents made no progress in ending the government shutdown. Without passage of funding legislation, parts of the government have remained closed since Wednesday (October 1).
EVENTS:
- FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US INFLATION (CPI) (SEPTEMBER). Despite the ongoing US government shutdown, latest reports have said that US inflation data could still be released, with the office workers expected to work harder to get the data out. In August, US inflation rose to 2.90%, up from July’s 2.70%.
US FEDERAL RESERVE:
- BREAKING (SEPTEMBER 17): US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT INTEREST RATE TO 4.25% FROM 4.50%, ITS FIRST INTEREST RATE CUT SINCE DECEMBER 2024. The Federal Reserve policymakers said they expect to see 2 more rate cuts by the end of 2025, to slash current rates to 3.75%.
- NEXT FEDERAL RESERVE MEETING AND INTEREST RATE DECISION: October 29. Interest rates are expected to be further cut to 4.00%.
- DECEMBER 10: The US Federal Reserve is expected to finish the year 2025 by cutting the rates to 3.75% on December 10.
PRICE ACTION:
- ANALYSTS’ OPINION: Bank of America forecasts $5,000; Societe General forecasts $5,000; Standard Chartered forecasts $4,488; ANZ forecasts $4,600; Goldman Sachs forecasts $4,900; J.P. Morgan forecasts $4,500; Julius Baer forecasts $4,500; TD Securities forecasts $4,400;
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- SUPPORT: $4,100 - $4,000. After hitting fresh all-time highs ($4,381.34), gold prices have formed another psychological support level between $4,100 and $4,000. However, there remains a risk of a potential breakout below this level if market conditions change.
- UPTREND SINCE JANUARY 2025: Since the beginning of January 2025, Gold prices have risen by around 67%, hitting an all-time high of $4,381.34 in October. However, a shift in direction remains possible.
GRAPH (Daily): March 2025 – October 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GOLD, October 22, 2025.
Current Price: 4,130
|
GOLD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
4,700 |
|
|
4,500 |
|
|
4,300 |
|
|
4,000 |
|
|
3,975 |
|
|
3,950 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
GOLD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
57,000 |
37,000 |
17,000 |
-13,000 |
-15,500 |
-18,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
49,135 |
31,894 |
14,654 |
-11,206 |
-13,361 |
-15,516 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
42,765 |
27,760 |
12,755 |
-9,753 |
-11,629 |
-13,505 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
79,818 |
51,812 |
23,805 |
-18,204 |
-21,705 |
-25,206 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 08:00 (GMT+1) 22/10/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.