GOLD

Posebna poročila - 05/01/2026

05 januar, 2026

Spodnji pimer uporablja Pogodbe o razliki (CFD pogodbe). Kalkulacije se nanašajo na ceno določenega instrumenta na spodaj omenjeni dan ter kažejo na morebitno priložnost za dobiček ali izgubo. Ni nobenih zagotovil ali jamstev glede točnosti in popolnosti teh informacij, zato vsaka oseba, ki jo vodijo te informacije, to stori na lastno odgovornost.

GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

SOUTH AMERICA GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS ESCALATE

BREAKING (JANUARY 3): US ARMY ATTACKS VENEZUELA WITH AIRSTRIKES, CAPTURING VENEZUELAN PRESIDENT MADURO AND HIS WIFE. According to Reuters, after a coordinated land and air strike the US military captured President Maduro and his wife, with Maduro set to appear in court on Monday (January 5) on charges of drug trafficking. US President Trump has threatened harsh punishments to the new interim leader Delcy Rodriguez if compliance with US is ignored.
BREAKING (JANUARY 3): US PRESIDENT TRUMP THREATENS COLOMBIA AS WELL. US President Trump laid out a possibility of a similar intervention happening in Colombia, accusing the state and its President Gustavo Pero of producing and exporting narcotics to the US.

EVENTS:

WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 7 AT 13:15 GMT: US ADP NONFARM EMPLOYMENT CHANGE (DECEMBER). A lower-than-expected reading could be positive for Gold because it will indicate a worsening situation in the labor market, with the FED having more incentive to intervene by lowering interest rates, thus potentially supporting Gold.
THURSDAY, JANUARY 8 AT 13:30 GMT: US INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS. A higher-than-expected reading will indicate a deteriorating situation in the US labor market, which could motivate the FED to continue its interest rate cut cycle in 2026, possibly supporting gold prices. This data measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. The data for last week came in at 199,000.
FRIDAY, JANUARY 9 AT 13:30 GMT: NON-FARM PAYROLLS AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (DECEMBER). A lower-than-expected reading could be positive for Gold because it will indicate a worsening situation in the labor market, with the FED having more incentive to intervene by lowering interest rates, thus potentially supporting Gold. This category measures the number of people employed during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. The data for last month came in at 64,000.

PRICE ACTION

GOLD RECOVERS AFTER A PULL BACK. Since the beginning of 2025, gold has had 18 downward corrections, taking on average 8 days to recover to previous top. The current price of Gold stands around $4,423, and if it recovers to its all-time highs ($4,550.17), it could potentially rise by around 127 dollars. However, it could also decline.

Data Source: Meta Trader 4

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

GOLD PRICE HIT A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ON DECEMBER 26, 2025 ($4,550.17). Since the beginning of 2025, the gold price has been rising solidly, hitting a fresh all-time high in December ($4,550.17), marking an increase of around 73%. However, the price could also decline.
ANALYSTS’ OPINION: Bank of America forecasts $5,000; Societe Generale forecasts $5,000; Goldman Sachs forecasts $4,900; J.P. Morgan forecasts $5,055; HSBC forecasts $5,000.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

GOLD TRADING ABOVE MOVING AVERAGES (MA). Gold has kept steady above its 20 -, 50 -, and 100-day moving averages, pointing to an uptrend. However, it could also decline.
MID-TERM TREND IS UP. The overall trend of gold is up (dark blue trendline), since the beginning of the year, with the trend accelerating since mid – August of 2025.

GRAPH (Daily): June 2025 – January 2026

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

GOLD, January 05, 2026.
Current Price: 4,423

GOLD	Weekly
Trend direction	UP
Resistance 3	4,800
Resistance 2	4,700
Resistance 1	4,550
Support 1	4,300
Support 2	4,275
Support 3	4,250

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot¹

GOLD
Pivot Points	Resistance 3	Resistance 2	Resistance 1	Support 1	Support 2	Support 3
Profit or loss in $	37,700	27,700	12,700	-12,300	-14,800	-17,300
Profit or loss in €²	32,277	23,716	10,873	-10,531	-12,671	-14,812
Profit or loss in £²	28,074	20,627	9,457	-9,159	-11,021	-12,883
Profit or loss in C$²	51,969	38,184	17,507	-16,956	-20,402	-23,848

1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT) 05/01/2026

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.

Fortrade Ltd is authorised and regulated in the UK by FCA under the licence number 609970.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

Risk warning Privacy policy

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd (T/A Fortrade Australia) |ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL: 493520

Risk warning Privacy policy

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

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Fortrade Canada Limited, 1200 Waterfront Centre, 200 Burrard Street, P.O. Box 48600, Vancouver BC V7X 1T2, Canada. Email: [email protected]
Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the CIRO website.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70.88% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd is regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20. CFD products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Risk warning | Privacy policy

Authorised and regulated by Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (FSC), SEC-2.1B investment dealer number: GB21026472.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: All CFDs, including cryptocurrency CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Be aware, as a retail client you can lose all, but not more than the balance of your trading account due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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CFD so zapleteni instrumenti in predstavljajo tveganje za hitro izgubijo denarja, zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 69% maloprodajnih računov investitorjev izgubi denar pri trgovanju CFD s tem ponudnikom. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Svoja sredstva lahko izgubite, vendar zgolj v višini vašega depozita. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. To gradivo ni ne ponudba, ne povpraševanje in ne transakcija glede kateregakoli financnega instrumenta. Fortrade ne sprejme nobene odgovornosti za kakršnokoli uporabo teh komentarjev in tudi ne za posledice, ki lahko iz tega izvirajo. Ni nikakršnega zagotovila in ne garancije glede tocnosti ali popolnosti teh podatkov. Posledicno vsaka oseba, ki se ravna po njih, to dela popolnoma na lastno odgovornost.

Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Opozorilo o tveganju: Pogodbe za razliko (CFD-ji) in finančni trgi z maržo so produkti z vzvodom ter predstavljajo visoko stopnjo tveganja za vaš kapital. Trgujte zgolj z denarjem, ki ga lahko izgubite. Zavedati se morate, da: Lahko izgubite vse, toda ne več od stanja na vašem računu za trgovanje. Niste lastnik ter nimate nobenih pravic do osnovnih finančnih instrumentov. Pretekli rezultati niso zagotovilo za rezultate v prihodnosti. To so splošne informacije in ne predstavljajo nasveta glede finančnih produktov. Vsi nasveti, navedeni na tej spletni strani, ali ki vam jih nudi družba Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd, so zgolj splošni nasveti ter so bili sestavljeni brez obzira na vaše cilje, finančno situacijo ali potrebe. Preden sprejmete odločitev na podlagi katerihkoli informacij morate razmisliti o primernosti navedenih informacij ter o naravi ustreznega finančnega produkta glede na svoje cilje, finančno situacijo in potrebe. Svetujemo vam, da poiščete neodvisno finančno svetovanje ter upoštevate naš Priročnik za finančne storitve (FSG) in Izjavo o razkritju produktov (PDS), preden se odločite za sodelovanje ali nakup finančnih produktov z naše strani.

Informacije na tej strani niso namenjene prebivalcem Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije, prav tako niso namenjene distribuciji ali uporabi s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer takšna distribucija ali uporaba ne bi bila skladna z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Fort Securities Australia PTY. LTD. (T/A Fortrade Australia) | ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL number: 493520.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni finančni instrumenti, ki zaradi vzvoda prinašajo visoko tveganje hitre izgube denarja. 70.88% malih vlagateljev izgubi denar pri trgovanju s CFD-ji pri tem ponudniku. Premislite, ali razumete, kako CFD-ji delujejo, in ali si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje izgube svojega denarja. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd je reguliran in nadzorovan s strani Ciprske komisije za vrednostne papirje in borzo (CySEC) z licenco CIF številka 385/20. CFD-ji morda niso primerni za vse stranke, zato poskrbite, da razumete tveganja, povezana z njimi, in poiščite neodvisni nasvet. To gradivo ne predstavlja ponudbe ali povabila k sklenitvi transakcije s katerim koli finančnim instrumentom. Fortrade ne prevzema odgovornosti za kakršno koli uporabo teh informacij in za posledice, ki iz tega izhajajo. Prav tako ni podano nobeno zagotovilo ali jamstvo glede točnosti ali celovitosti teh informacij; posledično vsakdo, ki deluje na podlagi teh informacij, to počne izključno na lastno odgovornost.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Pooblaščena za in ureja Komisija za finančne storitve, Mauritius (FSC), številka investicijskega trgovca SEC-2.1B: GB21026472.

Opozorilo o tveganju: Vsi CFD-ji, vključno s CFD-ji na kriptovalute, so kompleksni instrumenti in vključujejo visoko tveganje hitre izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. Zavedajte se, da lahko kot maloprodajni uporabnik izgubite vse, vendar ne več kot stanje na svojem trgovalnem računu, zaradi zaščite pred negativnim saldom pri Fortrade.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

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