SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- UPTREND CHANNEL: Silver prices have continued trading within the uptrend channel since April 2025.
- DAILY MOVING AVERAGES POINT TO POSITIVE SENTIMENT. Silver prices have recently return above the 50- Day Moving Average, while trading above the 100-Day Moving Average since May 2025. Although, sentiment could change if prices fall back below the 50 and 100- Day Moving Averages.
- SUPPORT AREA BETWEEN $35.50 AND $36.50: Silver prices have respected the region between $35.50 and $36.50 as stronger support area since early June 2025.
- ALL-TIME HIGH PRICE: $49.80. Silver jumped to $49.80 in 2011, during the debt crisis in Europe. Currently, Silver trades around $38.50, and if a full recovery is made, this could offer an upside potential of around 29%. However, the price could decline.
GRAPH (Daily): March 2025 – August 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
EVENTS:
- EVENT (FRIDAY, AUGUST 15): US PRESIDENT TRUMP – RUSSIA PRESIDENT PUTIN MEETING IN ALASKA, USA. If these ceasefire talks break down, it will increase geopolitical tensions, which in turn will increase safe-haven demand for silver. Both presidents have agreed to hold a meeting on Friday (August 15), to discuss ways forward to end the war in Ukraine. Potential territory swaps are considered by the US administration. Ukraine’s president Zelensky, on the other hand, rejects giving up Ukrainian territory, or any deals which exclude Ukrainian presence at the table.
- FRIDAY, AUGUST 15 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US RETAIL SALES (JULY). A lower than expected reading could prove positive for silver, because it could motivate the FED to cut interest rates to stimulate economic activity. This data measures the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. The number for the previous month (June) stood at 3.92%.
CENTRAL BANKS:
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE DECISION. After some weaker-than-expected employment market data in July and downward revisions to June figures, markets have increased their expectations for an interest rate cut in September, likely to be followed by another in December. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to decline to 4% by the end of 2025. This could put negative pressure on the US dollar, and in turn support the silver price.
SILVER, August 13, 2025.
Current Price: 38.50
|
SILVER |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
42.00 |
|
|
41.00 |
|
|
39.50 |
|
|
37.60 |
|
|
37.00 |
|
|
36.50 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
SILVER |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
35,000 |
25,000 |
10,000 |
-9,000 |
-15,000 |
-20,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
29,871 |
21,336 |
8,535 |
-7,681 |
-12,802 |
-17,069 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
25,806 |
18,433 |
7,373 |
-6,636 |
-11,060 |
-14,746 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
48,156 |
34,397 |
13,759 |
-12,383 |
-20,638 |
-27,518 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT+1) 13/08/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.