SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
TRADE WAR TENSIONS RISE:
- BREAKING (OCTOBER 10): US PRESIDENT TRUMP ANNOUNCED 100% TARIFF ON CHINA TO TOTAL 130% STARTING NOVEMBER 1, AFTER CHINA IMPOSED RARE EARTH MATERIALS EXPORT CONTROLS. According to the CNN, President Donald Trump announced he will impose an additional 100% tariff on goods from China, on top of the 30% tariffs already in effect, starting November 1 or sooner. The threat is a massive escalation after months of a trade truce between the two nations.
USA: GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN
- BREAKING (WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 1 AT 05:00 AM GMT+1): US GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN BEGAN WITH NO DEAL IN SIGHT. According to Reuters, U.S. President Donald Trump and his Democratic opponents made no progress to end the government shutdown. Without passage of funding legislation, parts of the government have remained closed since Wednesday (October 1).
EVENTS
- FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US INFLATION (CPI) (SEPTEMBER). Despite the ongoing US government shutdown, latest reports have said that US inflation data could be still released, with the office workers expected to work harder to get the data out. Headline inflation is expected to see a rise in September to 3.1% from the previous 2.9%. Core Inflation is expected to remain unchanged at 3.1%. This would be the last inflation report before Fed’s interest rate decision on October 29.
US FEDERAL RESERVE:
- BREAKING (SEPTEMBER 17): US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT INTEREST RATE TO 4.25% FROM 4.50%, ITS FIRST INTEREST RATE CUT SINCE DECEMBER 2024. The Federal Reserve policymakers said they expect to see 2 more rate cuts by the end of 2025, to slash current rates to 3.75%.
- NEXT FEDERAL RESERVE MEETING AND INTEREST RATE DECISION: October 29. Interest rates are expected to be further cut to 4.00%.
- DECEMBER 10: US Federal Reserve is expected to finish the 2025 year by cutting the rates to 3.75% on December 10.
PRICE ACTION:
- ALL-TIME HIGH PRICE: $51.70 (October 13, 2025). Currently, silver trades around $51.20, hitting fresh all-time highs on October 13 after it has recently broken through the previous all-time high set in 2011 ($49.80).
- ANALYSTS’ OPINION: CITIGROUP forecasts $55; UBS forecasts $55.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- SUPPORT AREA: $49 - $48. After hitting a fresh all-time high ($51.70), silver prices have remained above the area defined by $49 - $48, which has now become its next psychological support. Silver was last trading above $51.20.
- UPTREND SINCE APRIL 2025: After the March-April price pullback, silver prices have since been trading in uptrend, as depicted by the daily chart below and the solid black uptrend line on the same chart. Since the beginning of 2025, silver prices have risen by around 80%.
GRAPH (Daily): March 2025 – October 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
Silver, October 13, 2025.
Current Price: 51.20
|
Silver |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
60.00 |
|
|
57.00 |
|
|
54.00 |
|
|
48.50 |
|
|
48.25 |
|
|
48.00 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
SILVER |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
88,000 |
58,000 |
28,000 |
-27,000 |
-29,500 |
-32,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
75,901 |
50,025 |
24,150 |
-23,288 |
-25,444 |
-27,600 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
66,020 |
43,513 |
21,007 |
-20,256 |
-22,132 |
-24,007 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
123,200 |
81,200 |
39,200 |
-37,800 |
-41,300 |
-44,800 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 9:15 (GMT+1) 13/10/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.