SILVER

Posebna poročila - 12/01/2026

12 januar, 2026

Spodnji pimer uporablja Pogodbe o razliki (CFD pogodbe). Kalkulacije se nanašajo na ceno določenega instrumenta na spodaj omenjeni dan ter kažejo na morebitno priložnost za dobiček ali izgubo. Ni nobenih zagotovil ali jamstev glede točnosti in popolnosti teh informacij, zato vsaka oseba, ki jo vodijo te informacije, to stori na lastno odgovornost.

SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

GEOPOLITICAL TENSIONS ESCALATE:

MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS RISE: US PRESIDENT TRUMP CONSIDERS OPTIONS TO SUPPORT IRANIAN PROTESTORS AS THE PROTEST ENTERS ITS 16TH DAY (JANUARY 12). Trump has stated that the US is closely monitoring the anti-government protests and is considering response options. Iran has warned it will retaliate if attacked by the US. On the streets, protestors could be heard calling for the overthrow of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and the return of Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of the former Shah.
RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT WORSENS: RUSSIA RETALIATES AGAINST UKRAINE USING ORESHNIK MISSILES (JANUARY 9). Responding to Ukraine’s drone attack targeting Vladimir Putin’s residence in late December, Russia has used the intermediate-range ballistic missile “Oreshnik” as part of a massive overnight strike on Ukraine, about 60km from the Polish border. Geopolitical escalations increase safe-haven demand for silver.
VENEZUELA TENSIONS RISE: US ARMY ATTACKS VENEZUELA WITH AIRSTRIKES, CAPTURING VENEZUELAN PRESIDENT MADURO (JANUARY 3). According to Reuters, after a coordinated land and air strike, the US military captured President Maduro. US President Trump has threatened harsh punishments for the new interim leader, Delcy Rodriguez, if compliance with the U.S. is ignored.
GREENLAND ISSUE: US PRESIDENT TRUMP RENEWED PUSH TO ANNEX GREENLAND (JANUARY 8). According to Reuters, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio would meet leaders of Denmark this week (January 12 – January 17), but signaled no retreat from President Donald Trump's aim to take over Greenland as alarmed allies, including France and Germany, were working on a response.

EVENTS:

TUESDAY, JANUARY 13 AT 13:30 GMT: US INFLATION (CPI) DATA (DECEMBER). US Inflation came in at 2.7% in November, below the previous 3%. This is its lowest reading since July 2025. Core Inflation also fell in November, coming in at 2.6% (vs. 3% expected and the previous 3%). It is its lowest reading since March 2021.
WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 14 AT 13:30 GMT: US RETAIL SALES (NOVEMBER). Because the US is a consumption-driven economy, this data is very important since it signals the overall health of the economy. If the data comes out low, it could point to more interest rate cuts by the FED, thus supporting silver prices. The results for the previous month stand at 3.47%, which is lower than the month before (4.18%).

SILVER MARKET: HIGHER DEMAND AMID SUPPLY SHORTAGES LEADS TO A WIDENING DEFICIT

MARKET DEFICIT: SILVER MARKET REMAINS IN DEFICIT SINCE AT LEAST 2016. The silver market faced a deficit of around 300 million ounces in 2025, according to recent reports from The Silver Institute. While the market has been in deficit since 2016, the gap has grown significantly since 2022.
SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS: SILVER PRODUCTION REMAINS AROUND 800 MILLION OUNCES PER YEAR. Annual production has held near 800 million ounces, remaining largely unchanged since 2016. There is no clear indication that output will be meaningfully higher in 2026 or the following years.
DEMAND REMAINS STRONG: SOLAR PANELS, ELECTRIC VEHICLES, AND A.I. INFRASTRUCTURE. Silver demand is expected to increase in 2026 and beyond due to rising demand from solar production, electric vehicles, and rapidly expanding A.I. data center infrastructure.

SILVER MARKET: NEWS

NEWS: CHINA ANNOUNCED EXPORT RESTRICTIONS STARTING IN 2026. According to Global Times, China will introduce a new export licensing system from 2026, potentially limiting silver exports. As China accounts for 13% of global production and 11% of exports, the move could tighten global silver supply.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

SILVER PRICE HIT A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ON JANUARY 12, 2025 ($84.567). Silver price has broken out to a new all-time high of $84.567, confirming the strong uptrend since the beginning of 2025, trading well above moving averages. The zone between $76 and $74 has now become silver’s new support area.

GRAPH (Daily): January 2025 – January 2026

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

SILVER, January 12, 2026
Current Price: 83.7

SILVER	Weekly
Trend direction	UP
Resistance 3	100.00
Resistance 2	95.00
Resistance 1	90.00
Support 1	79.00
Support 2	78.00
Support 3	77.00

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot¹

SILVER
Pivot Points	Resistance 3	Resistance 2	Resistance 1	Support 1	Support 2	Support 3
Profit or loss in $	163,000	113,000	63,000	-47,000	-57,000	-67,000
Profit or loss in €²	139,540	96,737	53,933	-40,236	-48,796	-57,357
Profit or loss in £²	121,059	83,925	46,790	-34,907	-42,334	-49,761
Profit or loss in C$²	226,252	156,850	87,447	-65,238	-79,119	-92,999

1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
Calculations for exchange rate used as of 12:20 (GMT) 12/01/2026

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.

Fortrade Ltd is authorised and regulated in the UK by FCA under the licence number 609970.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. See full risk warning

Risk warning Privacy policy

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs and margin FX are leveraged products that carry a high level of risk to your capital. You should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. You do not own, or have any rights to, the underlying assets. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. This information is intended to be general in nature and is not financial product advice. Any advice contained on this website or provided to you by Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any information, you should consider the appropriateness of the information provided and the nature of the relevant financial product having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. We encourage you to obtain independent financial advice and consider our Financial Services Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) and Target Market Determination (TMD) to determine if this product is suitable for you before deciding to enter into or obtain any financial products issued by us.

This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade Australia accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd (T/A Fortrade Australia) |ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL: 493520

Risk warning Privacy policy

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Be Aware: You can lose all, but not more than the balance of your Trading Account. These products may not be suitable for all clients therefore ensure you understand the risks and seek independent advice. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. Fortrade Canada Limited is an Order Execution Only broker, and does not provide investment advice or recommendation. Fortrade is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Fortrade Canada Limited is authorised to provide CFD trading services in all provinces in Canada except Quebec. Residents of Alberta province are required to be Accredited Investors to trade CFDs.

Risk warning Privacy policy

Fortrade Canada Limited, 1200 Waterfront Centre, 200 Burrard Street, P.O. Box 48600, Vancouver BC V7X 1T2, Canada. Email: [email protected]
Fortrade Canada Limited is regulated by the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF). Company registration number: BC1148613.
Click here to see Fortrade Canada Limited on the CIRO website.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70.88% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd is regulated and supervised by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC) with CIF license number 385/20. CFD products may not be suitable for all clients, therefore ensure, that you understand the risks involved and seek independent advice. This material does not constitute an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Fortrade accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of the information and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

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Authorised and regulated by Financial Services Commission, Mauritius (FSC), SEC-2.1B investment dealer number: GB21026472.

Risk Warning and Disclaimer: All CFDs, including cryptocurrency CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Be aware, as a retail client you can lose all, but not more than the balance of your trading account due to Fortrade’s negative balance protection.

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CFD so zapleteni instrumenti in predstavljajo tveganje za hitro izgubijo denarja, zaradi finančnega vzvoda. 69% maloprodajnih računov investitorjev izgubi denar pri trgovanju CFD s tem ponudnikom. Vi biste morali vzeti v poštev kako CFD delujejo in če si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje zaradi mogoče izgube denarja. Svoja sredstva lahko izgubite, vendar zgolj v višini vašega depozita. Ti proizvodi morda ne bodo primerni za vse stranke, zato morate biti prepricani, da ste razumeli tveganje. Poišcite tudi neodvisen nasvet. To gradivo ni ne ponudba, ne povpraševanje in ne transakcija glede kateregakoli financnega instrumenta. Fortrade ne sprejme nobene odgovornosti za kakršnokoli uporabo teh komentarjev in tudi ne za posledice, ki lahko iz tega izvirajo. Ni nikakršnega zagotovila in ne garancije glede tocnosti ali popolnosti teh podatkov. Posledicno vsaka oseba, ki se ravna po njih, to dela popolnoma na lastno odgovornost.

Informacije na tej strani niso naslovljene na prebivalce Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije ter niso namenjene za distribucijo ali uporabo s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer bi bila takšna distribucija ali uporaba v nasprotju z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Opozorilo o tveganju: Pogodbe za razliko (CFD-ji) in finančni trgi z maržo so produkti z vzvodom ter predstavljajo visoko stopnjo tveganja za vaš kapital. Trgujte zgolj z denarjem, ki ga lahko izgubite. Zavedati se morate, da: Lahko izgubite vse, toda ne več od stanja na vašem računu za trgovanje. Niste lastnik ter nimate nobenih pravic do osnovnih finančnih instrumentov. Pretekli rezultati niso zagotovilo za rezultate v prihodnosti. To so splošne informacije in ne predstavljajo nasveta glede finančnih produktov. Vsi nasveti, navedeni na tej spletni strani, ali ki vam jih nudi družba Fort Securities Australia Pty Ltd, so zgolj splošni nasveti ter so bili sestavljeni brez obzira na vaše cilje, finančno situacijo ali potrebe. Preden sprejmete odločitev na podlagi katerihkoli informacij morate razmisliti o primernosti navedenih informacij ter o naravi ustreznega finančnega produkta glede na svoje cilje, finančno situacijo in potrebe. Svetujemo vam, da poiščete neodvisno finančno svetovanje ter upoštevate naš Priročnik za finančne storitve (FSG) in Izjavo o razkritju produktov (PDS), preden se odločite za sodelovanje ali nakup finančnih produktov z naše strani.

Informacije na tej strani niso namenjene prebivalcem Združenih držav Amerike ali Belgije, prav tako niso namenjene distribuciji ali uporabi s strani katerekoli osebe v katerikoli državi ali pristojnosti, kjer takšna distribucija ali uporaba ne bi bila skladna z lokalnimi zakoni ali predpisi.

Fort Securities Australia PTY. LTD. (T/A Fortrade Australia) | ABN: 33 614 683 831 | AFSL number: 493520.

Poglejte celotno opozorilo o tveganjih. Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Opozorilo o tveganju: CFD-ji so zapleteni finančni instrumenti, ki zaradi vzvoda prinašajo visoko tveganje hitre izgube denarja. 70.88% malih vlagateljev izgubi denar pri trgovanju s CFD-ji pri tem ponudniku. Premislite, ali razumete, kako CFD-ji delujejo, in ali si lahko privoščite visoko tveganje izgube svojega denarja. Fortrade Cyprus Ltd je reguliran in nadzorovan s strani Ciprske komisije za vrednostne papirje in borzo (CySEC) z licenco CIF številka 385/20. CFD-ji morda niso primerni za vse stranke, zato poskrbite, da razumete tveganja, povezana z njimi, in poiščite neodvisni nasvet. To gradivo ne predstavlja ponudbe ali povabila k sklenitvi transakcije s katerim koli finančnim instrumentom. Fortrade ne prevzema odgovornosti za kakršno koli uporabo teh informacij in za posledice, ki iz tega izhajajo. Prav tako ni podano nobeno zagotovilo ali jamstvo glede točnosti ali celovitosti teh informacij; posledično vsakdo, ki deluje na podlagi teh informacij, to počne izključno na lastno odgovornost.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

Pooblaščena za in ureja Komisija za finančne storitve, Mauritius (FSC), številka investicijskega trgovca SEC-2.1B: GB21026472.

Opozorilo o tveganju: Vsi CFD-ji, vključno s CFD-ji na kriptovalute, so kompleksni instrumenti in vključujejo visoko tveganje hitre izgube denarja zaradi finančnega vzvoda. Zavedajte se, da lahko kot maloprodajni uporabnik izgubite vse, vendar ne več kot stanje na svojem trgovalnem računu, zaradi zaščite pred negativnim saldom pri Fortrade.

Izjava o razkritju tveganj | Pravilnik o zasebnosti

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