USA100 Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
USA100:
- USA100 represents the Nasdaq 100, which includes 100 of the largest and most innovative non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange. It features global tech and AI leaders such as Apple, Google, ARM, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Amazon, and others. In essence, USA100 reflects the strength and evolution of the modern digital economy in the United States.
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA- UKRAINE/USA
- EVENT (FRIDAY, AUGUST 15, 2025): US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP AND RUSSIAN PRESIDENT VLADIMIR PUTIN MEETING IN ALASKA, USA. The US and Russia have agreed to hold a meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin on Friday (August 15) to discuss ways forward to end the war in Ukraine. marking the first high-level bilateral talks since Trump returned to office.
TRADE: OPTIMISM PREVAILS
- BREAKING (AUGUST 11): US PRESIDENT TRUMP EXTENDED CHINA TARIFF TRUCE FOR ANOTHER 90 DAYS UNTIL MID-NOVEMBER. President Donald Trump signed an executive order delaying the reinstatement of higher U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods for an additional 90 days, moving the deadline to mid-November 2025. Without the extension, U.S. duties would have reverted to April levels, when tariffs on Chinese imports reached 145% and China retaliated with 125% duties on U.S. goods.
EVENTS:
- FRIDAY, AUGUST 15 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US RETAIL SALES (JULY). A lower-than-expected reading could be positive for U.S. stock prices, as it may indicate that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates sooner and more aggressively. Retail Sales measure the change in the total value of sales at the retail level.
CENTRAL BANKS:
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE DECISION. After some weaker-than-expected employment market data in July and downward revisions to June figures, markets have increased their expectations for an interest rate cut in September, expected to be followed by another in December. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to decline to 4% by the end of 2025. This could put negative pressure on the US dollar and, in turn, support the US stock price.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- UPTREND CHANNEL: The USA100 index has been moving within a well-defined upward channel since early April 2025. The current price is positioned near the lower boundary of this channel, suggesting it is testing an important area of dynamic support. A clear break beneath this level could signal a potential weakening of the short-term positive structure, while a rebound could keep the broader uptrend intact.
- MOVING AVERAGES SIGNALS: The 20-day moving average (red) continues to trend higher and remains above both the 50-day (blue) and 100-day (green) moving averages, maintaining a positive short- to medium-term momentum. The 50-day moving average has also turned upward and is now closely aligned with the lower channel trendline, reinforcing this key support zone.
GRAPH (Daily): February 2025– August 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.
#USA100, August 13, 2025
Current Price: 24,000
|
USA100 |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
26,000 |
|
|
25,000 |
|
|
24,500 |
|
|
23,600 |
|
|
23,300 |
|
|
23,000 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
USA100 |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
20,000 |
10,000 |
5,000 |
-4,000 |
-7,000 |
-10,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
17,065 |
8,532 |
4,266 |
-3,413 |
-5,973 |
-8,532 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
14,420 |
7,210 |
3,605 |
-2,884 |
-5,047 |
-7,210 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
27,520 |
13,760 |
6,880 |
-5,504 |
-9,632 |
-13,760 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:05 (GMT+1) 13/08/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit