USA500 Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
USA500:
- USA500 represents the S&P500, which includes 500 of the largest companies listed in the USA. It features global tech and AI leaders such as Tesla, Apple, Google, Nvidia, Meta, Goldman Sachs, and others.
US FEDERAL RESERVE:
- EVENT (WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1): US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE CUT DECISION. PRESS CONFERENCE (19:30 GMT+1). After some weaker-than-expected employment market data in July and August, markets are expecting an almost certain interest rate cut by the FED in September, with more cuts by the end of 2025. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%.
- MARKET EXPECTATIONS (WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17): US FEDERAL RESERVE IS EXPECTED TO ANNOUNCE ITS FIRST INTEREST RATE CUT SINCE DECEMBER 2024 TO BRING DOWN RATES FROM THE CURRENT 4.50% TO AT LEAST 4.25% (Source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html).
- STATISTICS: LAST TIME WHEN AN INTEREST RATE CUT CYCLE BEGAN (SEPTEMBER 18, 2024 AND AFTER): US Federal Reserve started an interest rate cycle last time on September 18, 2024, by cutting rates from 5.50% to 5.00%. USA500 prices rose 3.54% within the first 1 month after the first interest rate cut of the cycle took place. Within the first 2 months, USA500 prices rose 3.70%. USA500 price traded up 4.12% within the first 3 months after the first cut.
Date Source: Meta Trader 4
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
COMPANY EVENTS (SEPTEMBER- OCTOBER 2025):
- META (FACEBOOK): META CONNECT A.I. EVENT (SEPTEMBER 17 – 18). Meta (Facebook) is expected to release fresh A.I. technology, showing investors that the company remains one of the leaders within the A.I. industry.
- BOEING: CHINA EXPECTED TO ORDER 500 NEW BOEING AIRCRAFTS. As part of the broader USA-China trade talks, Boeing was said to have engaged in talks with China to receive orders equal to 500 aircrafts.
- TESLA: Q3 CAR DELIVERY DATA (EXPECTED: OCTOBER 2, PREMARKET). According to some analysts, Q3 car delivery could reach over 480,000 units.
- NVIDIA: NVIDIA GTC A.I. EVENT (WASHINGTON, D.C., USA) (OCTOBER 27 – 29). Nvidia has recently posted record quarterly earnings results for the second quarter, and the upcoming A.I. event should improve investors’ confidence towards innovation and new technology that could increase Nvidia sales and profits.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- DAILY MOVING AVERAGES: USA500 has remained above the 20-, 50-, and 100-daily moving averages, pointing to a positive trend. However, USA500 can also change its trend if prices fall below the 20-, 50-, and 100-daily moving averages.
- UPTREND SINCE APRIL 2025: As depicted by the daily chart below, USA500 has kept trading within the black-lined uptrend channel line since April 2025, confirming the positive trend. However, there remains a risk of a potential breakout below the orange uptrend line if market conditions change.
GRAPH (Daily): March 2025 – September 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
#USA500, September 15, 2025.
Current Price: 6,661
|
USA500 |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
7,000 |
|
|
6,900 |
|
|
6,800 |
|
|
6,550 |
|
|
6,520 |
|
|
6,500 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
USA500 |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
3,390 |
2,390 |
1,390 |
-1,110 |
-1,410 |
-1,610 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
2,881 |
2,031 |
1,181 |
-943 |
-1,198 |
-1,368 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
2,490 |
1,755 |
1,021 |
-815 |
-1,035 |
-1,182 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
4,686 |
3,303 |
1,921 |
-1,534 |
-1,949 |
-2,225 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 13:20 (GMT+1) 15/09/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit