Weekly Special Report: Gold

 

EVENTS

• THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. RETAIL SALES (SEPTEMBER). Retail sales indicate consumer spending strength. Weaker data could weigh on the U.S. dollar and support gold. Retail sales rose 1.2% in August.
• THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. PRODUCERS’ PRICE INDEX (PPI) (SEPTEMBER). Lower-than-expected inflation could reduce expectations of further Fed rate hikes, weighing on the U.S. dollar and supporting gold. Headline PPI currently stands at 5.4%.
• THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX (OCTOBER). Weaker manufacturing data could signal slowing economic activity, potentially weighing on the U.S. dollar and supporting gold.
• THURSDAY, OCTOBER 15 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. WEEKLY INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS. Higher-than-expected claims could signal a weakening labor market, potentially weighing on the U.S. dollar and supporting gold.

 

U.S. FEDERAL RESERVE:

• FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16 AT 04:30 GMT+1: U.S. FEDERAL RESERVE (FED) CHAIRMAN KEVIN WARSH SPEAKS. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is scheduled to participate in a fireside chat with IMF (International Monetary Fund) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva during the IMF Annual Meetings. Investors will look for insights into the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook, inflation risks and the future path of interest rates.
• WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 28 AT 18:00 GMT+1: U.S. FEDERAL RESERVE (FED) INTEREST RATE DECISION. The Fed interest rate currently stands at 4.00%, with markets expecting that interest rates will remain unchanged at the October meeting. This could put negative pressure on the U.S. dollar, supporting gold prices.

 

CHINA GOLD PURCHASES:

• BREAKING (OCTOBER 7): CHINA'S CENTRAL BANK EXTENDS GOLD-PURCHASING STREAK TO 23 MONTHS. The People's Bank of China increased its gold reserves by around 21 tonnes in September, the largest monthly purchase since September 2023, taking total holdings to approximately 2,196 tonnes. China continued accumulating gold despite bullion prices falling more than 6% in September, highlighting continued central-bank demand and reserve diversification.

 

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND PRICE ACTION:

• SUPPORT AREA: $4,100 - $4,000. After recently falling, Gold is back near its strongest support area around $4,100–$4,000.
• GOLD: OCTOBER 2025 – OCT0BER 26. Gold has tested the region between $4,100 and $4,000 on 12 occasions over the past year, repeatedly rebounding from these levels. Following these tests, Gold has rebounded to an average high of approximately $4,324, with an average price increase of around $324. Although the price could also fall.
• GOLD PRICE HIT A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ON JANUARY 28, 2026 ($5,597.41). Gold price currently trades at around $4,145, and if it fully recovers to its previous all-time high, it could see an upside of around 35%. However, the price could also decline.

GRAPH (Daily): October 2025 – October 2026

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

 

Gold, October 15, 2026
Current Price:  4,145

 

Example of calculation based on weekly market trend for 1.00 Lot¹

1.  The above calculations are made based on 1.00 lot which is equivalent of 100 units
2.  Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:20 (GMT+1) 15/10/2026

 

You can use risk management tools such as Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.