USD/CAD
September 15, 2026
Risk Disclaimer: The example below is for illustrative purposes only and is based on price movements derived from Contracts for Difference (CFDs). The calculations reflect hypothetical outcomes using historical or specified price data for the relevant instrument on the stated date and are not indicative of future performance. Any reliance placed on this material is strictly at the user’s own risk.
Weekly Special Report: USD/CAD
U.S. FEDERAL RESERVE:
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 16 AT 19:00 GMT+1: U.S. FEDERAL RESERVE (FED) INTEREST RATE DECISION. The Fed interest rate currently stands at 3.75%, and many market participants expect an increase to 4%. However, if the Fed decides to keep rates unchanged at 3.75%, this could put negative pressure on the US dollar and USD/CAD prices.
PRESS CONFERENCE (FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH) AT 19:30 GMT+1. Investors will closely watch Warsh’s comments on inflation, the economy, and future interest rates. If Warsh signals that further rate increases are unlikely, this could weigh on the U.S. dollar and push the USD/CAD lower.
EVENTS (U.S.):
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 16 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. RETAIL SALES (AUGUST). Retail Sales are a key measure of consumer spending. A weaker-than-expected reading could put negative pressure on the USD/CAD, although prices could move in the other direction, too.
- THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. PHILADELPHIA FED MANUFACTURING INDEX (SEPTEMBER). The index measures business conditions in the Philadelphia manufacturing sector. A weaker-than-expected reading could put negative pressure on the USD/CAD, although prices could move in the other direction, too.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- RESISTANCE AREA: 1.4000. USD/CAD has continued to find resistance at the area defended by 1.4000, as it has rejected that area at least three times since April 2025.
- DOWNTREND: The daily chart below suggests that USD/CAD has traded in a downtrend channel since June 2026, when it hit levels above 1.4200. In late August 2026, USD/CAD traded around 1.3720. Although prices could go up, too.
GRAPH (Daily): April 2025– September 2026
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
USD/CAD, September 15, 2026
Current Price: 1.3925
|
USD/CAD |
Weekly |
|
Market Trend |
|
|
1.4200 |
|
|
1.4150 |
|
|
1.4110 |
|
|
1.3730 |
|
|
1.3600 |
|
|
1.3500 |
Example of calculation based on weekly market trend for 1.00 Lot1
|
USD/CAD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
-1,975 |
-1,616 |
-1,329 |
1,400 |
2,334 |
3,052 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
-1,711 |
-1,400 |
-1,151 |
1,213 |
2,022 |
2,644 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
-1,465 |
-1,199 |
-985 |
1,039 |
1,731 |
2,264 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
-2,750 |
-2,250 |
-1,850 |
1,950 |
3,250 |
4,250 |
- The above calculations are made based on 1.00 lot which is equivalent of 100,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 14:19 (GMT+1) 15/09/2026
You can use risk management tools such as Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
