EUR/USD
-0.55%
November 15, 2022
Risk Disclaimer: The example below is for illustrative purposes only and is based on price movements derived from Contracts for Difference (CFDs). The calculations reflect hypothetical outcomes using historical or specified price data for the relevant instrument on the stated date and are not indicative of future performance. Any reliance placed on this material is strictly at the user’s own risk.
EUR/USD weekly uptrend opportunity based On 1.00 Lot Calculation:
US FEDERAL RESERVE EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN THE INTEREST RATE HIKE CYCLE IN DECEMBER: The Fed is expected to raise interest rates by 50 basis points in December, meaning a slowdown compared to November’s increase of 75 basis points to 4%. In early 2023 the Fed is expected to end the hike cycle, probably with a terminal rate of lower than 5%. Morgan Stanley expected the Fed to start reducing the rates already in Q4 of 2023.
US INFLATION FALLS TO 7.7% FROM 8.2%, WHILE UNEMPLOYMENT ROSE FROM 3.5% TO 3.7%. These two factors are expected to make the Fed change the course on their interest rate hikes, as especially, the unemployment is expected to rise further in the coming months. Next inflation and employment market data in the US is expected to come in in the first half of December 2022.
EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK TO KEEP RAISING INTEREST RATES TO KEEP UP WITH THE FED RATE INCREASES. The European Central bank will meet next on December 15, to probably raise interest rates from current 2.0% to either 2.5% or 2.75%. This could add value to the Euro going into the month of December.
EUR/USD, November 15, 2022
Current Price: 1.0380
|
EUR/USD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1.0700 |
|
|
1.0650 |
|
|
1.0570 |
|
|
1.0200 |
|
|
1.0150 |
|
|
1.0100 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
EUR/USD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
3,200 |
2,700 |
1,900 |
-1,800 |
-2,300 |
-2,800 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
3,074 |
2,594 |
1,825 |
-1,729 |
-2,209 |
-2,690 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
2,704 |
2,281 |
1,605 |
-1,521 |
-1,943 |
-2,366 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
4,244 |
3,580 |
2,520 |
-2,387 |
-3,050 |
-3,713 |
1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100,000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 08:45 (GMT) 15/11/2022
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