Weekly Special Report: AUD/USD

EVENTS:

• THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 10 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. PRODUCERS’ PRICE INDEX (PPI) (AUGUST). U.S. PPI has continued falling since May, dropping to 4.7% in July from 6.5% in May. If producer inflation continued to fall in August, this could indicate lower consumer inflation, reducing expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. This could weigh on the U.S. dollar and support the AUD/USD pair.
• THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 10 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. WEEKLY INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS. Initial Jobless Claims came in slightly higher than expected last week (206,000 vs. 205,000 expected). Another higher-than-expected reading could indicate further weakness in the U.S. labor market, reducing expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike, weighing on the U.S. dollar and supporting the AUD/USD pair.
• FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 11 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. INFLATION DATA (CPI) (AUGUST). Investors will closely watch U.S. inflation after the last two readings declined, from 4.2% in May to 3.5% in June and 3.4% in July. Another weak report could reduce expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike at the September meeting, weighing on the U.S. dollar and supporting the AUD/USD pair.
• WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 16 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. RETAIL SALES (AUGUST). Investors will closely watch Retail Sales after July's reading unexpectedly declined, raising concerns about slowing consumer spending. Another weak report could reduce expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike, weighing on the U.S. dollar and supporting the AUD/USD pair.

U.S. FEDERAL RESERVE

• EVENT (WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 16 AT 19:00 GMT+1): U.S. FEDERAL RESERVE (FED) INTEREST RATE DECISION. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged at 3.75% at its latest meeting and continued to downplay the likelihood of further rate hikes in 2026.

U.S. GOVERNMENT:

• BREAKING (AUGUST 19): U.S. TREASURY ANNOUNCES MORE AGGRESSIVE LONG-TERM BOND REPURCHASE PROGRAMME. On September 9, the U.S. Treasury will begin a more aggressive program to inject money into the U.S. economy by repurchasing longer-term U.S. government bonds. The latest reports suggest that the U.S. Treasury Department could use an account holding around $1 trillion to help implement the program. Increased money supply could put further downward pressure on the U.S. Dollar, supporting AUD/USD prices.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

• LONGER-TERM UPTREND CHANNEL: The chart indicates that AUD/USD has been trading within a rising channel since late August 2025, with higher highs and higher lows supporting the broader positive structure. The pair continues to respect the channel boundaries.
• 100-DAILY MOVING AVERAGE (MA): AUD/USD has recently bounced off its 100-day moving average, reinforcing it as dynamic support. The fact that the price remains above the 100-day MA confirms that positive momentum is still intact. However, a clean break below this level could indicate the beginning of a negative trend.

GRAPH (Daily): August 2025– September 2026

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

AUD/USD, September 10, 2026
Current Price:  0.7200

Example of calculation based on weekly market trend for 1.00 Lot¹

1. The above calculations are made based on 1.00 lot which is equivalent of 100,000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:10 (GMT+1) 10/09/2026

You can use risk management tools such as Stop-Loss and Take-Profit