Risk Disclaimer: The example below is for illustrative purposes only and is based on price movements derived from Contracts for Difference (CFDs). The calculations reflect hypothetical outcomes using historical or specified price data for the relevant instrument on the stated date and are not indicative of future performance. Any reliance placed on this material is strictly at the user’s own risk.
Weekly Special Report: EUR/USD
U.S. - CHINA SUMMIT:
- SEPTEMBER 23 - 25: U.S.-CHINA SUMMIT. Chinese President Xi Jinping is scheduled to arrive in Washington on September 23, meet on September 24, and depart on the 25th. It would be Xi's first White House visit in more than a decade, with a formal state dinner planned.
- ANALYSIS I: CHINA AND THE USA ARE THE TWO MOST IMPORTANT TRADE PARTNERS FOR GERMANY. In 2025, the USA remained Germany’s largest export market, with €146.2 billion in German exports, while exports to China amounted to €81.3 billion. Together, the USA and China accounted for 14.6% of Germany’s total exports.
- ANALYSIS II: THE USA AND CHINA ARE THE TWO MOST IMPORTANT TRADE PARTNERS FOR THE EUROPEAN UNION (E.U.). In 2025, the USA accounted for 21% of total EU exports, while China accounted for 22.3% of total EU imports.
EVENTS (U.S.):
- TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 29 AT 15:00 GMT+1: U.S. JOLTS JOB OPENINGS (AUGUST). Weaker job openings could pressure the US Dollar, while stronger labor market data could support it.
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 30 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. PCE INFLATION (AUGUST). Higher inflation could support the dollar by keeping U.S. rate expectations elevated, while softer inflation could support the EUR/USD.
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 30 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. GDP (Q2). This is the final (third) reading for the second quarter. The previous two readings showed a 1.5% increase compared to 2.1% in the quarter before. A weaker GDP reading could have a negative impact on the US Dollar and give support to EUR/USD.
- FRIDAY, OCTOBER 2 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. NONFARM PAYROLLS (NFP) AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (SEPTEMBER). Investors will closely watch the U.S. labor market after August's strong employment data, when nonfarm payrolls (NFP) increased by 162,000. A weaker-than-expected report could reduce expectations for another Fed interest rate hike, weighing on the US Dollar and supporting the EUR/USD.
EVENTS (EUROPE):
- FRIDAY, OCTOBER 2 AT 10:00 GMT+1: EUROZONE INFLATION (CPI) (AUGUST). Eurozone inflation currently stands at 3.2%. However, a higher-than-expected reading could support the EUR/USD.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- SUPPORT AREA: 1.1400. The 1.1400 level is proving to be strong support for EUR/USD and has been in place since early July 2025. The area around 1.1400 has been tested at least three times since August 2025. This is the fourth time EUR/USD has tested the 1.1400 level. After testing levels near 1.1400, EUR/USD has subsequently attempted to recover above 1.1800 on average, as can be seen on the daily chart below. However, the price could also fall below 1.1400.

GRAPH (Daily): July 2025 – September 2026
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
EUR/USD, September 23, 2026
Current Price: 1.14000
Example of calculation based on weekly market trend for 1.00 Lot1
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EUR/USD
|
|
Pivot Points
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Resistance 3
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Resistance 2
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Resistance 1
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Support 1
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Support 2
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Support 3
|
|
Profit or loss in $
|
4,000
|
2,500
|
1,100
|
-1,000
|
-1,500
|
-2,000
|
|
Profit or loss in €²
|
3,509
|
2,193
|
965
|
-877
|
-1,316
|
-1,754
|
|
Profit or loss in £²
|
3,016
|
1,885
|
829
|
-754
|
-1,131
|
-1,508
|
|
Profit or loss in C$²
|
5,637
|
3,523
|
1,550
|
-1,409
|
-2,114
|
-2,819
|
- The above calculations are made based on 1.00 lot which is equivalent of 100,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 13:30 (GMT+1) 23/09/2026
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