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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70.41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing all your money. Read full risk warning.

AUGUST 2025 EVENTS - 31/07/2025

Micro Analysis

31 July, 2025

For General Information only. Not Intended to Provide Trading or Investment Advice. Your Capital is at Risk.

U.S. Unemployment Rate and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) (July) (August 1st at 13:30 GMT+1)
The previous month had unemployment at 4.1%. Nonfarm Payrolls for the previous month printed 147,000.
Possible Influence: Volatile US Dollar, Gold and US Stocks

US ISM Manufacturing PMI for July (August 1st at 15:00 GMT+1)
The ISM Manufacturing PMI previous print was 49.0. The number was higher than the expected 48.8.
Possible influence: Volatile US Dollar, Gold and US Stocks

US trade deals and reciprocal tariff deadline (August 1st and August 12th)
On July 7 US reciprocal tariffs on multiple countries were extended from July 9th to August 1st. If no significant trade progress is achieved, the US might reimpose high reciprocal tariffs. The US and EU signed a significant deal with a baseline US tariff of 15% on EU goods on July 27th. On July 30 a US-South Korea trade deal was announced, adding to earlier deals with Japan, the Philippines, Indonesia and Vietnam. The US -China trues expires on August 12.
Possible Influence: Volatile US and European Stocks, Gold, EURUSD, CADUSD, Copper, Natural Gas, Crude Oil

Eight OPEC+ countries will meet to set September production levels (August 3 at 11:00 GMT+1)
Eight OPEC members (Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman) will hold their monthly meeting to discuss and set voluntary production levels from September. The cartel is expected to consider whether to add another 548,000 bpd to output.
Possible Influence: Volatile Crude oil

Bank of England Meeting (August 7th at 12:00 GMT+1)
The Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England will meet to decide on interest rates. Rates are expected to be cut by 0.25% this month from 4.25% to 4.0%. The last BoE cut was by 0.25% in May.
Possible Influence: Volatile British Pound and British stocks
US TRUMP GIVES 10- DAYS DEADLINE TO RUSSIA TO REACH A CEASFIRE DEAL WITH UKRAINE (EXPECTED BY AUGUST 10)
On July 30 the US gave Russia a 10-day deadline that is expected to expire by August 10 to sign a ceasefire with Ukraine and threatened to impose tariffs and secondary tariffs on any country that imports Russian energy. On July 30th the US said will impose penalties on India for trade with Russia stating it must cease importing Russian oil and said further action may be taken against India.
Possible Influence: Volatile Crude oil, Natural gas, Gold, Silver, Palladium, Platinum, Copper

US Inflation data (July) (August 12th at 13:30 GMT+1)
Core CPI (excluding food and energy) was 2.9%, Year-over-Year in June. Top-line Year on Year CPI for June came in at 2.7%, above expectations of 2.6%.
Possible Influence: Volatile US Dollar, Gold and US Stocks

Reserve Bank of Australia Interest Rate decision (August 12th at 04:30 GMT+1)
The RBA will meet to decide on interest rates and it's likely that rates will remain unchanged, but there is a solid possibility of another rate cut of 25 basis points in the coming months. The current level is 3.85% after a cut of 25 basis points in May.
Possible Influence: Volatile Australian Dollar

Retail Sales in the US for (July) (August 15th at 13:30 GMT+1)
Month-over-Month Retail Sales was at 0.6% in June, which was higher than 0.1% expected.
Possible Influence: Volatile US Dollar, Gold and US Stocks

Jackson Hole Symposium (August 21st - 23rd)
The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City will again host its annual meeting of central bankers, leaders, academics, and economists from around the world. The theme this year is Labor Markets in Transition. The participants will discuss economic issues and policy options. The event includes a speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, papers, commentary, and discussions.
Possible Influence: Volatile US Dollar, Gold and US Stocks

Company Q2 Earnings Season (August)
The 2nd Quarter earnings season continues in August. Of the major companies, Palantir (August 4th), AMD (August 5th), and NVIDIA (August 27th) are expected to declare their earnings.
Possible Influence: Volatile US Stocks

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