CRUDE OIL Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- BREAKING (DECEMBER 16): CRUDE OIL HAS TESTED ITS LOWEST RATE SINCE MAY 2025 ($55.55). The crude oil price has tested its lowest rate since May 2025.
- TECHNICAL SUPPORT: $55. According to the daily chart below, crude oil has tested levels near $55 three times since 2021.
GRAPH (Daily): November 2021 – December 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
EVENTS
- TUESDAY, DECEMBER 16 AT 21:30 GMT: AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE (API) WEEKLY OIL INVENTORY DATA.
- WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 17 AT 15:30 GMT: US ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION (EIA) WEEKLY OIL INVETORY DATA.
- THURSDAY, DECEMBER 18 AT 13:30 GMT: US INFLATION DATA (CPI) (NOVEMBER). A softer CPI reading would point to easing inflation and increase expectations for more Fed rate cuts, which could provide positive support to oil prices.
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA – UKRAINE
- EVENT (EXPECTED: DECEMBER 19 - 21): UKRAINIAN AND U.S. NEGOTIATORS TO MEET IN MIAMI (USA) AMID UNRESOLVED TERRITORIAL ISSUES. Despite the ongoing efforts, no agreement has been reached so far, as Russia has not signaled any shift in its position, particularly on territorial issues. Working-level negotiating groups from the U.S., Ukraine, and their partners are expected to meet in the United States, possibly in Miami, over the coming weekend.
GEOPOLIITICS: VENEZUELA CRISES
- BREAKING (DECEMBER 10): THE UNITED STATES HAS SEIZED ONE LARGE OIL TANKER CARRYING VENEZUELAN OIL UNDER U.S. SANCTIONS, marking the first such confiscation. In addition, the USA has imposed sanctions on six more tankers linked to Venezuelan oil exports, increasing risks for maritime shipments.
- VENEZUELA CURRENT OIL EXPORT: AROUND 1 MILLION BARRELS A DAY. Most of it goes to China, Turkey and some to India.
- OIL: VENEZUELA HOLDS THE LARGEST OIL RESERVES IN THE WORLD (over 300 billion barrels estimated). In addition, the potential conflict could also disrupt the 1 million barrels of oil exports per day from Venezuela.
Crude Oil, December 16, 2025.
Current Price: 55.60
|
Crude Oil |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
63.00 |
|
|
60.00 |
|
|
58.00 |
|
|
53.50 |
|
|
53.00 |
|
|
52.50 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
Crude Oil |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
7,400 |
4,400 |
2,400 |
-2,100 |
-2,600 |
-3,100 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
6,292 |
3,741 |
2,040 |
-1,785 |
-2,211 |
-2,636 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
5,510 |
3,276 |
1,787 |
-1,564 |
-1,936 |
-2,308 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
10,191 |
6,059 |
3,305 |
-2,892 |
-3,581 |
-4,269 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used a 11:35 (GMT) 16/12/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop techniques could protect the profit.