GER 40 Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GER 40:
- The GER40 represents the DAX 40 in Germany, which includes companies such as Adidas, Bayer, Mercedes-Benz, Deutsche Bank, Siemens, BMW, E.ON, etc. In essence, GER40 includes the most valuable and advanced companies in Germany, the largest economy in Europe.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
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- LONGER-TERM (ORANGE) TREND LINE: The orange trend line depicted by the chart below shows that GER40 prices have maintained their uptrend in general since April 2025. However, there remains a risk of a potential breakout below this level if market conditions change.
- GER40 REMAINS ABOVE 20-,50- , AND 100-WEEKLY MOVING AVERAGES: The weekly graph below shows that GER40 has remained above all three, technically, crucial moving averages, indicating an ongoing long-term uptrend. Although the trend could change if prices fall below the 20-, 50-, and 100-Week Moving Averages.
- THE GER40 HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF 24,746.1 (JULY 10, 2025). The current price is 23,950, so for the index to return to its previous all-time high, it would need to advance by roughly 3.5% from current levels, highlighting the moderate upside potential that could be realized if positive momentum continues
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GRAPH (Weekly): April 2023 – August 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GEOPOLITICS: TRADE DEALS AND OPTIMISM
- EVENT (TUESDAY, AUGUST 12): U.S. –US PRESIDENT TRUMP EXTENDED TRUCE AND TARIFF DEAL WITH CHINA FOR ANOTHER 90 DAYS (UNTIL MID-NOVEMBER 2025). The USA and China are two top largest destinations for the German exports. In total, the US economy takes in around 11% of total German exports, while China’s economy takes in around 6% of total German exports, which amounted to around $1.7 Trillion.
- BREAKING (JULY 27): U.S. AND E.U. ANNOUNCED A TRADE AGREEMENT HAS BEEN REACHED. The U.S. and European Union announced a framework trade deal that imposes a reduced 15% import tariff on most EU goods, half the initially threatened rate, and avoids a broader trade war. The agreement is expected to support major GER40-listed exporters such as Siemens, Volkswagen, and BASF.
GERMAN EXPORTERS BENEFIT. Key GER40-listed multinationals such as Volkswagen, Siemens, and BASF are expected to benefit from increased global demand and fewer supply chain disruptions, especially coming from Asian and European markets.
GER40: EVENTS
- MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 1 AT 8:55 GMT+1: GERMAN MANUFACTURING PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEX (PMI) (AUG). A stronger reading would highlight improving industrial conditions, supporting confidence in Germany’s manufacturing sector and providing a positive signal for the GER40.
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 3 AT 8:55 GMT+1: GERMAN SERVICES PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEX (PMI). The services sector accounts for a large share of Germany’s economy, making this release very important. A stronger result would point to resilient domestic demand and business activity, boosting sentiment toward the German economy and providing further support for the GER40.
- THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 11 AT 13:15 GMT+1: EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK INTEREST RATE DECISION (SEP): The European Central Bank will announce its latest policy decision, with the current rate at 2.15% following a 25bps cut in June. Another rate cut or supportive policy stance would reduce financing costs, stimulate economic activity across the eurozone, and provide a direct boost to sentiment around the GER40. (Current rate 2.15%)
GER40, August 29, 2025
Current Price: 23,950
GER40 |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
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25,500 |
|
25,000 |
|
24,400 |
|
23,550 |
|
23,300 |
|
23,000 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
GER40 |
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Pivot Points |
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Profit or loss in $ |
18,108 |
12,267 |
5,257 |
-4,673 |
-7,594 |
-11,099 |
Profit or loss in €² |
15,500 |
10,500 |
4,500 |
-4,000 |
-6,500 |
-9,500 |
Profit or loss in £² |
13,433 |
9,100 |
3,900 |
-3,467 |
-5,633 |
-8,233 |
Profit or loss in C$² |
24,875 |
16,851 |
7,222 |
-6,419 |
-10,431 |
-15,246 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:30 (GMT+1) 29/8/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.