MICROSOFT (#MICROSOFT) weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE:
- ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE TECHNOLOGY CONTINUES TO GROW: According to IDC, global investments in Artificial Intelligence are projected to generate a cumulative economic impact of $22.3 trillion by 2030. Precedence Research estimates that the Generative AI market is valued at $37.89 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach approximately $1 trillion by 2034, registering a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44.20% between 2025 and 2034.
- MICROSOFT IS A LEADER FOR ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE PLATFORMS: According to recent data, Microsoft has introduced “Bing AI” and Copilot for Microsoft 365. Previously, Microsoft partnered with OpenAI, the developer of the most demanded AI application, ChatGPT. As of July 2025, ChatGPT has nearly 800 million weekly active users, almost doubling from the 400 million reported in February 2025.
MICROSOFT: EVENTS
- EVENT (WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 29, AFTERMARKET): Q3 2025 EARNINGS REPORT. Microsoft is expected to print $75.501 billion in revenue for Q3 of 2025. This represents a 15.12% increase from the same period last year ($65.585 billion). In addition, the company is expected to post Net Income of $27.364 billion, which could be an increase of around 24.941% from the same period last year ($24.941 billion).
- QUARTERLY REVENUE AND NET INCOME (LAST 8 QUARTERS). Microsoft has beaten revenue and Net Income expectations 8 out of the last 8 times.
- LAST TIME (Q2 RESULTS): Microsoft reported higher-than-expected revenue ($75 billion, an increase of 18%) and better-than-expected Net income ($27.3 billion, an increase of 24%). (Source: Microsoft.com).
STOCK PERFORMANCE: Microsoft shares rose 8.5% over the night after the release of its second-quarter results, and 7.4% a day after the release of its first-quarter results. (Source: Meta Trader).
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
MICROSOFT: PRICE ACTION
- THE STOCK HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $560.61 (July 31, 2025). The stock currently trades around $517, around 8% below its all-time high.
- ANALYSTS' OPINION: Wells Fargo forecasts $675, Citi forecasts $680, and Jefferies forecasts $675.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- MID-TERM UPTREND: Since March 2025, Microsoft has been moving in a steady rising trend, supported by the trendline (red). Despite some periods of consolidation, the stock continues to trade above this key support area, suggesting that the overall upward momentum remains intact.
- KEY MOVING AVERAGE SUPPORTS: The 50-day moving average (blue) and the 100-day moving average (green) are both trending higher and remain below the current price. This alignment confirms the ongoing positive trend. As long as the price stays above these averages and the trendline, the outlook remains positive, with potential for further gains once consolidation ends.
GRAPH (Daily): March 2025 – October 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
#MICROSOFT, October 22, 2025.
Current Price: 517
|
Microsoft |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
610 |
|
|
580 |
|
|
550 |
|
|
490 |
|
|
470 |
|
|
450 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
Microsoft |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
93,000 |
63,000 |
33,000 |
-27,000 |
-47,000 |
-67,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
80,263 |
54,372 |
28,480 |
-23,302 |
-40,563 |
-57,824 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
69,881 |
47,339 |
24,796 |
-20,288 |
-35,316 |
-50,344 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
130,367 |
88,313 |
46,259 |
-37,849 |
-65,885 |
-93,921 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:00 (GMT+1) 22/10/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit