Palladium weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
PALLADIUM USE AND MARKET SHARE:
- Palladium is mostly used in catalytic converters by the car industry to reduce harmful gas emissions, while tightening regulations are forcing automakers to put more Palladium into each vehicle, which in turn could keep the demand outlook positive. Palladium has also been used in fuel cells to generate power.
- MARKET SHARE (PRODUCERS): Russia is the largest producer, holding 43% of the market, while South Africa is the second largest with 33.00% of the market. Canada is third on the list with 9.5% of the global production.
- MARKET SHARE (CONSUMERS): China is the largest Palladium consumer with 31%, while Europe and North America (USA) hold 20% each. Japan stands at 11%.
EVENTS:
- WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 8 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE (FOMC) LAST MEETING MINUTES. The US Fed held its last interest rate policy meeting on September 17, deciding to cut rates to 4.25%. The transcripts, however, from that meeting are announced three weeks after the meeting on October 8. At the last meeting, Fed decided to cut rates and projected it would cut two more times by the end of 2025. Similar messages are expected to be carried by the last meeting transcripts on Wednesday (October 8), which could put negative pressure on the US dollar, while positive support could be provided to palladium prices.
- THURSDAY, OCTOBER 9 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE (FED) CHAIR JEROME POWELL SPEAKS. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will deliver opening remarks at a banking conference in Washington, D.C. Comments on the Fed policy could be expected to be made, too, which could increase volatility in palladium prices.
- MONDAY, OCTOBER 13 AT 05:00 GMT+1: CHINA TRADE BALANCE AND EXPORT/IMPORT DATA (SEPTEMBER). A stronger-than-expected trade surplus, particularly if driven by resilient industrial export and import figures, could reinforce expectations of steady Chinese palladium demand, support prices, and potentially extend the recent rebound. Conversely, a weaker outcome could pressure prices lower. China remains the world’s largest palladium consumer, making this data especially significant.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- UPTREND SINCE APRIL 2025: As shown in the daily chart below, palladium has been in a steady uptrend, supported by a rising diagonal trend line (orange) since April 2025. However, the price could decline.
- PALLADIUM PRICE ABOVE 20-,50-, AND 100-DAILY MOVING AVERAGES: Palladium price has remained above its 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages, indicating a potential uptrend. The trend could reverse if Palladium price goes below these averages.
- PALLADIUM HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $3,409 (March 2022): Palladium price has traded around $1374, and if a full recovery takes place, the price of palladium could see an upside of around 148%. Although the price could decline as well.
GRAPH (Daily): February 2025 – October 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
Palladium, October 07, 2025.
Current Price: 1,374
|
PALLADIUM |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1,600 |
|
|
1,550 |
|
|
1,470 |
|
|
1,280 |
|
|
1,265 |
|
|
1,250 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
PALLADIUM |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
22,600 |
17,600 |
9,600 |
-9,400 |
-10,900 |
-12,400 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
19,371 |
15,085 |
8,228 |
-8,057 |
-9,343 |
-10,628 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
16,842 |
13,116 |
7,154 |
-7,005 |
-8,123 |
-9,241 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
31,528 |
24,553 |
13,393 |
-13,114 |
-15,206 |
-17,299 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:00 (GMT+1) 07/10/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.