SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA – UKRAINE CONFLICT
- US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP DISAPPOINTED IN RUSSIA PRESIDENT PUTIN, CONSIDERING SELLING LONG-RANGE TO EUROPE/NATO, POSSIBLY ESCALATING TENSIONS IN UKRAINE. According to Reuters, US President Trump would use every occasion recently to say he is disappointed in Russia President Putin as no peace deal with Ukraine has been reached. Changin rhetoric on Russia, US President Trump is now considering selling long-range weapons to Europe/Ukraine, which could lead to new episode of escalation.
USA: GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN
- BREAKING (WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 1 AT 05:00 AM GMT+1): US GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN BEGAN. According to Reuters, U.S. President Donald Trump and his Democratic opponents made no progress at a White House meeting aimed at heading off a government shutdown U.S. Without passage of funding legislation, parts of the government have close on Wednesday (October 1).
SILVER MARKT PROJECTIONS:
- SILVER INSTITUTE PROJECTED A GLOBAL MARKET DEFICIT IN 2025: The Silver Institute is projecting a global market deficit for the fifth year in a row in 2025, which provides additional support to silver prices from supply-side pressures.
US FEDERAL RESERVE:
- BREAKING (SEPTEMBER 17): US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT INTEREST RATE TO 4.25% FROM 4.50%, ITS FIRST INTEREST RATE CUT SINCE DECEMBER 2024. The Federal Reserve policymakers said they expect to see 2 more rate cuts by the end of 2025, to slash current rates to 3.75%.
- NEXT FEDERAL RESERVE MEETING AND INTEREST RATE DECISION: October 29. Interest rates are expected to be further cut to 4.00%.
- DECEMBER 10: US Federal Reserve is expected to finish the 2025 year by cutting the rates to 3.75% on December 10.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- SUPPORT AREA: $46 - $45. After hitting fresh 14-year highs ($48.024), silver prices have remained above the area defined by $46 - $45, which has now become its next psychological support. Silver was last trading around $47.
- UPTREND SINCE APRIL 2025: After the March-April price pullback, silver prices have since been trading in uptrend, as depicted by the daily chart below and the solid black uptrend line on the same chart. Since the beginning of 2025, silver prices have risen by around 65%.
- ALL-TIME HIGH PRICE: $49.80. Silver jumped to $49.80 in 2011, during the debt crisis in Europe. Currently, silver trades around $47.3, and if a full recovery is made, this could offer an upside potential of around 5%. However, the price could decline.
GRAPH (Daily): March 2025 – October 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
Silver, October 3, 2025.
Current Price: 47.30
|
Silver |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
52.00 |
|
|
50.00 |
|
|
48.70 |
|
|
46.00 |
|
|
45.70 |
|
|
45.50 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
SILVER |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
47,000 |
27,000 |
14,000 |
-13,000 |
-16,000 |
-18,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
40,057 |
23,011 |
11,932 |
-11,080 |
-13,636 |
-15,341 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
34,903 |
20,050 |
10,397 |
-9,654 |
-11,882 |
-13,367 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
65,603 |
37,687 |
19,541 |
-18,145 |
-22,333 |
-25,124 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 8:45 (GMT+1) 3/10/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.