SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
SILVER MARKET: HIGHER DEMAND AMID SUPPLY SHORTAGES LEADS TO A WIDENING DEFICIT
- MARKET DEFICIT: SILVER MARKET REMAINS IN DEFICIT SINCE AT LEAST 2016. The silver market is expected to face a deficit of around 315 million ounces in 2025. While the market has been in deficit since 2016, the shortfall has grown significantly since 2022.
- SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS: SILVER PRODUCTION REMAINS AROUND 800 MILLION OUNCES PER YEAR. Annual production has held near 800 million ounces in 2025, remaining largely unchanged since 2016. There is no clear indication that output will be meaningfully higher in 2026 or the following years.
- DEMAND REMAINS STRONG: SOLAR PANELS, ELECTRIC VEHICLES AND A.I. INFRASTRUCTURE. Silver demand is expected to reach approximately 1,150 million ounces in 2025, with further increases anticipated in 2026 and beyond due to rising demand from solar production, electric vehicles, and rapidly expanding A.I. data center infrastructure.
EVENTS
- TUESDAY, DECEMBER 23 AT 13:15 GMT: US ADP EMPLOYMENT CHANGE WEEKLY. A weaker than expected ADP employment reading would point to a softer U.S. labor market, reinforcing expectations for further Fed rate cuts, conditions that typically support silver prices. Recent data already show rising unemployment at 4.6%, the highest level since November 2021, alongside moderating inflation, with CPI at 2.7%.
US FEDERAL RESERVE:
- BREAKING (WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 10): US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT THEIR INTEREST RATE TO 3.75% FROM THE PREVIOUS 4.00%. This is their third consecutive rate cut, following those on September 17 and October 29, 2025. It marks the lowest rate since September 2022.
- EARLIER:
OCTOBER 29, 2025: US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT INTEREST RATE TO 4.00% FROM 4.25%.
SEPTEMBER 17, 2025: US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT INTEREST RATE TO 4.25% FROM 4.00%.
SILVER PRICE ACTION: LAST TWO TIMES TIME (SEPTEMBER AND OCTOBER): Following the last two interest rate cuts (September and October 2025) by the FED, silver rose on average by 9.18% after ten days and 21.21% after one month.
Data Source: MetaTrader 4 Platform
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- SUPPORT: $66 - $64. In December, silver prices broke above the $66 level for the first time ever. Following the breakout, the zone between $66 and $64 has now become silver’s new support area.
- SILVER PRICE HIT A NEW ALL-TIME HIGH ON DECEMBER 22, 2025 ($69.430). Silver price has broken out to a new all-time high of $69.430, confirming the strong uptrend since the beginning of 2025. Silver has now gained more than 130% so far in 2025. However, the price could also decline.
- ANALYSTS’ OPINION: CITIGROUP forecasts $70.
GRAPH (Daily): May 2025 – December 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
SILVER, December 22, 2025.
Current Price: 68.70
|
SILVER |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
80.00 |
|
|
77.00 |
|
|
73.00 |
|
|
65.00 |
|
|
64.50 |
|
|
64.00 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
SILVER |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
113,000 |
83,000 |
43,000 |
-37,000 |
-42,000 |
-47,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
96,303 |
70,736 |
36,646 |
-31,533 |
-35,794 |
-40,055 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
84,124 |
61,790 |
32,012 |
-27,545 |
-31,267 |
-34,990 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
155,574 |
114,271 |
59,201 |
-50,940 |
-57,824 |
-64,708 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:10 (GMT) 22/12/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.