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Tesla

Special Reports - 03/10/2022

03 October, 2022

The example below uses Contracts For Difference (CFDs). Calculations are only on the price of the specific instrument on the date below and calculations indicate a possible profit or loss. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

Tesla (#TSLA) weekly uptrend opportunity based On 1 Lot Calculation:

GLOBAL EV MARKETS:

  • ELECTRIC VEHICLES (EV) MAKE ONLY AROUND 9.0% OF TOTAL CAR SALES, WORTH 66.7 MILLION CARS IN 2021: The total global car market grew just 4.5% in 2021, by around 66.7 million cars. In 2020, the world sold around 63.8 million cars. The estimates say that around 6.5 million electric vehicles (EVs) were sold worldwide in 2021, up 109% from 2020. EV sales represent around 9% of all passenger car sales in 2021. The EV sector increased its market share from 4.11% in 2021 to around 9.00% off the global car sales.
  • MARKET POTENTIAL: ELECTRIC VEHICLES (EV) ARE EXPECTED TO TAKE UP AROUND 50% OF GLOBAL CAR SALES BY 2030. The 2021 figures of 287.36 billion dollars are an increase of around 76% from 2020’s 160.01 billion dollars. Expecting this number to grow to 823.75 billion dollars, the EV market could be growing annually on average by 18.6%.

CHINA EV MARKETS:

  • CHINA LEADS THE WAY (2021): EV MAKES AROUND 13% OF THE CAR MARKET IN CHINA, UP FROM 3.5% IN 2020: More than half of the total electric vehicles (EVs) sold worldwide last year (including plug-in hybrids) went to buyers in China. China led global EV growth in 2021 as sales nearly tripled (UP 277%) to 3.4 million (from 0.9 million in 2020). Total number of cars sold in 2021 in China was 26.28 million, and EV made around 13% of the market.
  • MARKET SHARE CHINA: Tesla is the largest EV company in China, holding some 14% of the markets, followed by GM’s Wulling (~11.8%) and BYD (~10%)
  • ELECTRIC VEHICLES IN CHINA ARE EXPECTED TO TAKE UP 40% OF CHINA’S CAR SALES BY 2030. Total car sales are expected to grow to 38 million in 2030, while around 15 million (or 40%) will be Electric Vehicles.

TESLA STOCK SPLIT:

  • BREAKING: TESLA HAD A STOCK SPLIT OF 3 TO 1 ON AUGUST 25, 2022. According to MarketWatch, investors view stock splits as a sign of confidence by management, because splits happen more often in stocks that have bullish momentum behind them. Splits also increase liquidity by making shares more accessible to a wider range of investors, something Amazon acknowledged when it announced its split.
  • TESLA STOCK SPLIT HISTORY (AUGUST 2020): In August 2020, Tesla had a split of 5 to 1. After the stock split took place, onwards, over the next twelve months, the stock gained 65.91%.

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results.

OTHER EVENTS AND ANALYSIS:

  • EVENT (CONFIRMED: OCTOBER 19, AFTERMARKET): Q3 EARNINGS REPORT. According to Bloomberg, Tesla is expected to report 22.58 billion dollars of revenue with net income of 3.72 billion dollars. Revenue in Q3 could be expected to rise around 33% compared to Q2 fugures, while Net Income could be expected to post an increase of 42% compared to Q2 figures. Compared to Q3’21, tesla may be expected to post an increase in revenue of 64% and an increase in net income of 124%.
  • PRICE ACTION: THE STOCK HAS HAD A DOWNWARD CORRECTION OF AROUND 50% FROM ITS ALL- TIME HIGH OF $414.4 (November 4, 2021). The stock had fallen to its lowest rate since 2021 to $205.7 (May 25, 2022). Tesla was last trading around $250, and If a full recovery follows to recent all- time highs, the stock could see an upside of around 65%.
  • ANALYSTS OPINIONS: Goldman Sachs forecasts $333 a share. Wedbush forecasts $360. Morgan Stanley forecasts $383. Deutsche Bank forecasts $400.

#TSLA, October 3, 2022
Current Price:250

Tesla

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

360

Resistance 2

330

Resistance 1

280

Support 1

225

Support 2

210

Support 3

200

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1

Tesla

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

110,000

80,000

30,000

-25,000

-40,000

-50,000

Profit or loss in €2

112,748

81,998

30,749

-25,624

-40,999

-51,249

Profit or loss in £2

98,214

71,429

26,786

-22,321

-35,714

-44,643

Profit or loss in C$2

151,136

109,917

41,219

-34,349

-54,958

-68,698

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units

2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 13:00 (GMT+1) 03/10/2022

Fortrade recommends the use of Stop-Loss and Take-Profit, please speak to your Client Manager regarding their use.

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one
  • Trailing stop technique can protect the profit – Ask your Client Manager for more detail
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