Tesla (#TSLA) weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
TESLA: THE COMPANY
- Tesla produces several Electric Vehicles (EVs), including the Model 3, Model X, Model Y, Model S, and, since recently, the Cybertruck. Tesla also delivers the Semi-Truck.
- STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION: Tesla stock is part of both the NASDAQ 100 (USA100) index and the S&P 500 (USA500) index.
- MARKET SHARE: Tesla is still the largest seller of pure battery-powered Electric Vehicles (EVs) in the world and an absolute leader in the US (taking up around 40% market share).
TESLA: ELECTRIC VEHICLE (EV) BUSINESS
- EVENT (EXPECTED: OCTOBER 2, PREMARKET): Q3 CAR DELIVERY DATA. According to some analysts, Q3 car delivery could reach over 480,000 units. This would be up around 25% from Q2 (384,122) and 3.7% up from the same period last year (462,890).
SALES COULD INCREASE AS EV SUBSIDIES (UP TO $7,500) IN THE U.S.A. ARE SET TO END ON SEPTEMBER 30. Tesla is expected to ramp up production and deliveries of its EVs by the end of Q3 or September 30, as EV credits of up to $7500 in the USA will expire on September 30. Having this in mind, consumers could take their last chance of the US EV credits and purchase an EV, while still relatively cheaper with the existing EV credits of up to $7,500. This could increase Tesla's sales and profitability in Q3 of 2025.
TESLA: ROBOTAXI BUSINESS EXPANDS BEYOND AUSTIN, TEXAS (USA)
- SEPTEMBER 12, 2025: ROBOTAXI SERVICES RECEIVED PERMIT FOR TESTING IN NEVADA (USA). Tesla has secured official approval to begin testing its Robotaxi service on public roads in Nevada. The Office of Business Licensing from the Nevada Department of Motor Vehicles approved on Thursday the company’s Testing Registry certification
- EARLY AUGUST 2025: ROBOTAXI SERVICES EXPAND IN SAN FRANCISCO. According to the latest reports, it will cover much of the Bay Area, from Marin to San José, including San Francisco and parts of the East Bay.
AUGUST 21: CEO ELON MUSK ANNOUNCED FULL-SELF DRIVING (FSD) (AUTOPILOT) LATEST VERSION OF V14 WILL BE RELEASED IN SEPTEMBER.
- LATE JUNE 2025: TESLA ROBOTAXI SERVICES IN AUSTIN (TEXAS) LAUNCHED. Tesla launched its robotaxi service in Austin, Texas, on June 22, using a limited number of Model Y vehicles.
- THE PLAN: TESLA PROJECTS MORE THAN 1,000 CARS IN MONTHS. Tesla's autonomous robotaxi project started off with 10 cars in the first week of June, with a gradual scaling to 20, 30, and 40, aiming to reach 1,000 within months.
ROBOTAXI SERVICES TO EXPAND: According to CEO Elon Musk, Tesla began discussions with Nevada officials to establish autonomous vehicle operations in the state as part of its plan to expand its robotaxi service. Tesla is seeking permissions to launch autonomous ride-hailing in Nevada, Arizona, Florida, and a number of other places, targeting a rapid scale-up at a hyper-exponential rate.
GLOBAL ROBOTAXI MARKET: EXPECTED GROWTH OF 80.8% PER YEAR ON AVERAGE UNTIL 2031. The global robotaxi market could experience growth from a $1.71 billion market in 2022 to $118.61 billion by 2031, with an impressive 80.8% CAGR, according to Fortune Business Insights.
TESLA: BREAKING NEWS
- BREAKING (SEPTEMBER 15): CEO ELON MUSK ANNOUNCED PURCHASES OF 2.57 MILLION SHARES OF TESLA WORTH 1 BILLION DOLLARS. Positive sentiment with Tesla stock price could be anticipated as CEO Musk, by purchasing more Tesla shares, expresses confidence in Tesla's future, cheering up investors. Although, prices could go into the other direction as well.
- NEW PAY PACKAGE TO MAKE CEO ELON MUSK THE FIRST TRILLIONAIRE IN THE WORLD, OWNING 25% OF TESLA? Elon Musk could receive 423.7 million additional shares of Tesla stock to reach 25% ownership of Tesla. However, in order to receive the full compensation, the company’s market capitalization would need to reach an overall value of $8.5 trillion in the next decade, significantly above the current market cap of $1.1 trillion.
TESLA: PRICE ACTION
- TESLA STOCK PRICE HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH IN LATE 2024: $487.99. The current stock price is around $420, and if the price moves to its recent all-time high levels, this would be a price change of around 16%. However, the price could decline as well.
- ANALYSTS’ OPINION: WEDBUSH DAN IVES forecasts $500, Benchmark CO, LLC forecasts $475, Fubon Securities forecasts $470, New Street Research forecasts $465.
#TSLA, September 15, 2025.
Current Price: 420
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Tesla |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
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|
600 |
|
|
550 |
|
|
480 |
|
|
365 |
|
|
350 |
|
|
330 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
Tesla |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
180,000 |
130,000 |
60,000 |
-55,000 |
-70,000 |
-90,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
152,976 |
110,483 |
50,992 |
-46,743 |
-59,491 |
-76,488 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
132,200 |
95,478 |
44,067 |
-40,394 |
-51,411 |
-66,100 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
248,789 |
179,681 |
82,930 |
-76,019 |
-96,751 |
-124,394 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:59 (GMT+1) 15/09/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.