ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES (#AMD) weekly special report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
AMD: THE COMPANY
- AMD is a chipmaker itself. It is a major player in the Consumer Computing, Data Center, and Gaming Markets.
- MARKET SHARE: The market share for desktop CPUs is around 32% in Q2 2025, for Laptop CPUs it is around 24.0% market share, and 27% server unit share in Q1 2025.
- AI MARKET PENETRATION: Its flagship chips are the Ryzen 9000 family and the Instinct MI300/MI350 AI accelerators, with the Zen 6 and MI400 AI coming out this year. Furthermore, AMD supplies custom chips for Sony PlayStation 5 and Microsoft Series X/s, contributing significantly to its gaming segment.
AMD: EVENTS
- EVENT (TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 3, AFTERMARKET): Q4 EARNINGS REPORT. AMD is expected to print $9.641 billion in revenue, which should be around 25% higher than the same quarter in the last year. A net income of $1.351 billion is expected, which is 180% higher than the same quarter last year. An Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.82 is expected, which should be 173% higher than the same quarter last year.
- AMD TENDS TO BEAT EXPECTATIONS: In the last 8 quarters, AMD has beaten revenue (8 out of the last 8 times) and Net Income (5 out of the last 8 times).
Source: Bloomberg Terminal
AMD: EXPANDING ITS AI CAPABILITIES
- AMD REPORTS STRONG CHIP DEMAND FOR 2026. AMD’s server CPUs for 2026 are mostly sold out due to very strong AI and data center demand, with AMD considering a price increase of 10-15% in the first quarter of this year, significantly increasing revenue. Server CPU demand from AMD is expected to grow at least 50% this year. From AMD’s MI255 and MI455 AI chips, a sales revenue of around $15 billion is expected.
- AMD ENTERS A LONG-TERM PARTNERSHIP WITH OPEN AI. OpenAI has announced a massive, multi-generational partnership with AMD, with OpenAI committing to deploying up to 6 gigawatts of AMD Instinct GPU’s over several years. The first 1 – gigawatt deployment, featuring the MI450 Series, is scheduled to begin in the second half of 2026. For AMD, a potential of more than $100 billion in revenue is expected in the next 4 years.
AMD: PRICE ACTION
- AMD HAS REACHED AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF 266.58 (OCTOBER 29, 2025). AMD was last trading around $256. Since the beginning of the year, the price of AMD stocks has risen by around 20%. However, the price could decline as well.
- ANALYSTS' OPINIONS: Melius Research forecasts $380. New Street Research forecasts $354. Wells Fargo forecasts $345. UBS forecasts $330. Piper Sandler forecasts $300.
AMD: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- UPTREND SINCE EARLY APRIL 2025: As depicted by the daily chart below, the AMD stock price has kept within the mid-term blue–lined uptrend, confirming its mid-term trend is up. The channel has been in place since early March 2025.
- DAILY MOVING AVERAGES SIGNAL UPTREND: AMD stock price has moved above the 20–day, 50-day, and 100-day moving averages, indicating a continued uptrend. However, this trend could reverse if the prices drop below these key moving averages.
GRAPH (Daily): April 2025 – January 2026
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
#AMD, January 28, 2026
Current Price: 256
|
AMD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
380 |
|
|
330 |
|
|
280 |
|
|
235 |
|
|
230 |
|
|
220 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
AMD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
124,000 |
74,000 |
24,000 |
-21,000 |
-26,000 |
-36,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
103,454 |
61,739 |
20,023 |
-17,520 |
-21,692 |
-30,035 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
89,953 |
53,682 |
17,410 |
-15,234 |
-18,861 |
-26,115 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
168,161 |
100,354 |
32,547 |
-28,479 |
-35,260 |
-48,821 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT) 28/01/2026
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.