CRUDE OIL Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- BREAKING (OCTOBER 13): CRUDE OIL PRICES HAVE TESTED THEIR LOWEST RATE SINCE MAY 2025 ($57.88).
- BREAKING (MAY 5): CRUDE OIL PRICES TESTED THE LEVEL OF $55.36. After testing the mark of $55.36, Crude oil prices managed to recover and hit $77.565 on June 13 (Data Source: MetaTrader 4).
- BREAKING (APRIL 9): CRUDE OIL PRICES HIT THEIR LOWEST LEVEL SINCE FEBRUARY 2021 ($55.115): Crude oil prices fell to their lowest in more than four years to hit the level of $55.115 on April 9. After testing the mark of $55.115, Crude oil prices managed to recover and hit $64.845 on April 23 (Data Source: MetaTrader 4).
- LONG-TERM SUPPORT AREA BELOW THE PSYCHOLOGICAL MARK OF $60: Crude oil price has recently tested levels below $60, which has been acting as a support area since early 2021.
GRAPH (Daily): February 2021 – October 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
EVENTS (ECONOMIC DATA):
- TUESDAY, OCTOBER 13, AT 17:20 GMT+1: FED CHAIR JEROME POWELL SPEAKS. Mr. Powell is going to deliver yet another speech ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision on October 29. For the time being, the markets still expect the Fed to cut rates on October 29 from the current 4.25% to 4.00%.
- WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 15, AT 02:30 GMT+1: CHINA INFLATION (CPI) (SEPTEMBER). China is the largest oil importer in the world, and investors will continue watching data coming from China. In September, annual inflation came in negative -0.2%. If the October data shows positive inflation, then the oil prices could see some upward pressure. Although prices could fall, as well.
- FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24, AT 13:30 GMT+1: US INFLATION (CPI) (SEPTEMBER). Despite the ongoing US government shutdown, latest reports have said that US inflation data could still be released, with the office workers expected to work harder to get the data out. In August, US inflation rose to 2.90%, up from July’s 2.70%. This would be the last inflation report before the Fed’s interest rate decision on October 29.
EVENTS (OIL):
- MONDAY, OCTOBER 13 AT 12:00 GMT+1: OPEC OIL MONTHLY REPORT.
- TUESDAY, OCTOBER 14 AT 09:00 GMT+1: INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY (IEA) OIL MONTHLY REPORT.
- WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 15 AT 21:30 GMT+1: AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE (API) WEEKLY OIL INVENTORY DATA (USA). If data showed a declining inventory for the past week, then positive support for the oil price could be expected. However, the price could decline.
- THURSDAY, OCTOBER 16 AT 16:00 GMT+1: ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION (EIA) OIL INVENTORY DATA (USA). If data showed a declining inventory for the past week, then positive support for the oil price could be expected. However, the price could decline.
EVENTS (OTHER):
- EVENT (OCTOBER 31 - NOVEMBER 1): ASIA-PACIFIC ECONOMIC COOPERATION (APEC) SUMMIT IN SOUTH KOREA. US President Trump and China President Xi are still expected to meet at the event, which could potentially improve the sentiment across the oil markets.
Crude Oil, October 13, 2025
Current Price: 59.20
|
Crude Oil |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
70.00 |
|
|
66.00 |
|
|
63.00 |
|
|
56.00 |
|
|
55.50 |
|
|
55.00 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
Crude Oil |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
10,800 |
6,800 |
3,800 |
-3,200 |
-3,700 |
-4,200 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
9,315 |
5,865 |
3,278 |
-2,760 |
-3,191 |
-3,623 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
8,103 |
5,102 |
2,851 |
-2,401 |
-2,776 |
-3,151 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
15,120 |
9,520 |
5,320 |
-4,480 |
-5,180 |
-5,880 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 09:00 (GMT+1) 13/10/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop techniques could protect the profit.