CRUDE OIL Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA – UKRAINE
- BREAKING (NOVEMBER 21): US ADMINISTRATION PROPOSED A 28-POINT PEACE DEAL, BUT UKRAINE AND EUROPE SEEM NOT IMPRESSED. The latest peace proposal crafted by the Trump-led administration includes that Ukraine must give up Donetsk and Luhansk (Donbass Region), Crimea, and some territory in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson. There have already been similar proposals throughout 2025, and all of them ended with no agreement.
LAST TIME (OCTOBER): TRUMP–PUTIN CALL ON OCTOBER 16, 2025. The call led to a potential new summit between US Trump and Russia’s Putin, but due to further disagreements, the summit never happened, and Trump announced sanctions on Russia’s Lukoil and Rosneft on October 22.
PRICE ACTION (OCTOBER 17 – OCTOBER 24): CRUDE OIL PRICE ROSE FROM $56.90 TO $62.57 (an increase of 9.96%). Before the collapse of the Putin–Trump summit and Trump’s sanctions on Russia’s Lukoil and Rosneft, crude oil had been declining to test $56.90 on some potential optimism. However, the summit efforts collapsed and, moreover, Trump announced oil sanctions on Russia, which caused crude oil prices to rise to 62.57 on October 24.
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GEOPOLITICS: OIL SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA
- BREAKING: U.S. ANNOUNCED OIL SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA THAT WILL KICK IN ON NOVEMBER 21. According to the BBC, the USA announced sanctions targeting the largest Russian oil producers and exporters, Rosneft and Lukoil.
EXPORTS: LUKOIL AND ROSNEFT EXPORT 3.1 MILLION BARRELS A DAY OR AROUND 60% OF TOTAL RUSSIAN OIL EXPORTS. This is around 3%-4% of the total global supply.
PRODUCTION: ROSNEFT PRODUCES AROUND 5 MILLION BARRELS A DAY OR 50% OF TOTAL RUSSIAN OIL OUTPUT. This is roughly around 5%-6% of total global output.
LUKOIL PRODUCES AROUND 2 MILLION BARRELS A DAY OF OIL, OR AROUND 20% OF RUSSIAN TOTAL OIL OUTPUT. This is roughly around 2%-3% of total global output.
EVENTS:
- SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 30: EIGHT OPEC+ MEMBERS (V8) MEETING (Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman) TO DECIDE ON OIL PRODUCTION LEVELS AND CONFIRM THAT NO CHANGES ARE EXPECTED IN Q1 OF 2026. OPEC+ has agreed to accelerate oil production hikes for a ninth consecutive month, raising output in December by 137,000 barrels a day, but it also announced a pause through Q1 of 2025.
- SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 30: FULL OPEC+ MEETING. The very same day, all OPEC+ members will also meet at their regular semiannual summit to discuss the latest oil market developments and conditions.
STATISTICS (2021-2025):
- BREAKING (NOVEMBER 21): THIS IS THE 4TH TIME SINCE 2021 CRUDE OIL HAS TRADED BELOW $60.
- CRUDE OIL PRICE HAS TESTED $60 OR NEAR (2021 – 2025): 8 Times.
- CRUDE OIL PRICE HAS TESTED LEVELS BELOW $60 (2021- 2025): 3 Times.
- AVERAGE REGION TO TEST WHEN RECOVERY TAKES PLACE: $65 - $70 Region.
GRAPH (Daily): February 2021 – November 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
Crude Oil, November 21, 2025
Current Price: 57.40
|
Crude Oil |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
65.00 |
|
|
63.00 |
|
|
60.00 |
|
|
55.00 |
|
|
54.50 |
|
|
54.00 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
Crude Oil |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
7,600 |
5,600 |
2,600 |
-2,400 |
-2,900 |
-3,400 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
6,600 |
4,864 |
2,258 |
-2,084 |
-2,519 |
-2,953 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
5,824 |
4,291 |
1,992 |
-1,839 |
-2,222 |
-2,606 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
10,716 |
7,896 |
3,666 |
-3,384 |
-4,089 |
-4,794 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT) 21/11/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop techniques could protect the profit.