EUR/USD weekly uptrend opportunity based On 1.00 Lot Calculation:
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US FEDERAL RESERVE EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN THE INTEREST RATE HIKE CYCLE IN DECEMBER: The Fed is expected to raise interest rates by 50 basis points in December, meaning a slowdown compared to November’s increase of 75 basis points to 4%. In early 2023 the Fed is expected to end the hike cycle, probably with a terminal rate of lower than 5%. Morgan Stanley expected the Fed to start reducing the rates already in Q4 of 2023.
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US INFLATION FALLS TO 7.7% FROM 8.2%, WHILE UNEMPLOYMENT ROSE FROM 3.5% TO 3.7%. These two factors are expected to make the Fed change the course on their interest rate hikes, as especially, the unemployment is expected to rise further in the coming months. Next inflation and employment market data in the US is expected to come in in the first half of December 2022.
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EUROPEAN CENTRAL BANK TO KEEP RAISING INTEREST RATES TO KEEP UP WITH THE FED RATE INCREASES. The European Central bank will meet next on December 15, to probably raise interest rates from current 2.0% to either 2.5% or 2.75%. This could add value to the Euro going into the month of December.
EUR/USD, November 15, 2022
Current Price: 1.0380
|
EUR/USD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1.0700 |
|
|
1.0650 |
|
|
1.0570 |
|
|
1.0200 |
|
|
1.0150 |
|
|
1.0100 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
EUR/USD |
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|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
3,200 |
2,700 |
1,900 |
-1,800 |
-2,300 |
-2,800 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
3,074 |
2,594 |
1,825 |
-1,729 |
-2,209 |
-2,690 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
2,704 |
2,281 |
1,605 |
-1,521 |
-1,943 |
-2,366 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
4,244 |
3,580 |
2,520 |
-2,387 |
-3,050 |
-3,713 |
1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100,000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 08:45 (GMT) 15/11/2022
Fortrade recommends the use of Stop-Loss and Take-Profit, please speak to your Client Manager regarding their use.
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You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one
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Trailing stop technique can protect the profit – Ask your Client Manager for more detail