EUR/USD Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
JACKSON HOLE ECONOMIC SYMPOSIUM (2025):
- BREAKING (FRIDAY): FED CHAIR JEROME POWELL SPOKE AT THE JACKSON HOLE ECONOMIC SYMPOSIUM AND SIGNALED INTEREST RATE CUTS IN SEPTEMBER. Mr. Powell signaled a potential interest rate cut in September by saying that rate cuts may be justified given rising concern about the job market. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank may cut the federal funds rate when its policy committee next meets in September.
CENTRAL BANKS:
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE DECISION. After some weaker-than-expected employment market data in July and downward revisions to June figures and Fed Chair Jerome Powell speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, markets have increased their expectations for an interest rate cut in September, expected to be followed by another in December. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to decline to 4% by the end of 2025. This could put negative pressure on the US dollar and, in turn, support the EUR/USD price.
EVENTS:
- TUESDAY, AUGUST 26 AT 15:00 GMT+1: US CB CONSUMER CONFIDENCE (AUGUST). The July report showed an increase from 95.2 in June to 97.2. If, however, data on Tuesday came in negative and, moreover, falls short of estimates, the markets could see higher chances for interest rates by the Fed going forward, which could put negative pressure on the US dollar.
- THURSDAY, AUGUST 28 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US GDP (Q2) second reading. Data for GDP in the first (preliminary) reading showed an increase for Q1 from -0.5% to 3.00%. The second reading will be released on Thursday, and if data comes in weaker the the first reading, the US dollar could then see some negative pressure.
- THURSDAY, AUGUST 28 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US WEEKLY INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS. A higher-than-expected reading could prove negative for the US Dollar, because it will increase the odds of an interest rate cut by the FED. This data measures the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week.
- FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 5 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US NONFARM PAYROLLS (NFP) AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (AUGUST). The US labor market data remains one of the most important indicators, used by the US Fed, that could potentially predict if and when there could be new interest rate cuts. The US unemployment rate remained above 4%, last coming in at 4.2% for July.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- LONGER-TERM UPTREND CHANNEL: The black trend lines depicted by the chart below show that EUR/USD prices have maintained their uptrend in general since January 2025. However, the price could decline.
- 100-DAILY MOVING AVERAGE (MA): EUR/USD has recently returned above its 100-Day Moving Average, confirming that positive sentiment continues to prevail, which has been in place since January 2025. However, EUR/USD can change its trend if prices fall back below the 100-Day Moving Average.
GRAPH (Daily): December 2024 – August 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
EURUSD, August 25, 2025.
Current Price: 1.1685
|
EUR/USD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1.2000 |
|
|
1.1900 |
|
|
1.1800 |
|
|
1.1580 |
|
|
1.1550 |
|
|
1.1520 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
EUR/USD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
3,150 |
2,150 |
1,150 |
-1,050 |
-1,350 |
-1,650 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
2,692 |
1,837 |
983 |
-897 |
-1,154 |
-1,410 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
2,332 |
1,592 |
852 |
-777 |
-1,000 |
-1,222 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
4,355 |
2,972 |
1,590 |
-1,452 |
-1,866 |
-2,281 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100.000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:40 (GMT+1) 25/08/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.