CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70.41% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing all your money. Read full risk warning.

EUR/USD

Special Reports - 16/09/2025

16 September, 2025

The example below uses Contracts For Difference (CFDs). Calculations are only on the price of the specific instrument on the date below and calculations indicate a possible profit or loss. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information, consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk.

EUR/USD Weekly Special Report Based on 1 Lot Calculation:

CENTRAL BANKS:

  • WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE CUT DECISION. PRESS CONFERENCE AT 19:30 GMT+1. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to be cut to 4.25% on Wednesday, September 17, 2025. The Federal Reserve faces growing pressure to ease policy as the U.S. labor market shows clear signs of weakness. This could put negative pressure on the US dollar and, in turn, support the EUR/USD price.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

  • LONGER-TERM UPTREND: EUR/USD has been respecting a well-defined ascending trend line since early 2025. The line (blue) has consistently provided support during pullbacks, and the broader trend remains constructive as long as price holds above this level.
  • KEY MOVING AVERAGE (MA) SUPPORTS: EUR/USD remains above both the 20-day (red) and 100-day (green) moving averages. The 100-day and 20- day MA confirm the underlying positive structure. Holding above both moving averages keeps sentiment positive. However, this trend can also change if prices fall below the 20- and 100-Daily Moving Averages.
  • ANALYST OPINION: JP Morgan forecasts 1.20 by the end of 2025 and 1.22 in early 2026.

GRAPH (Daily): October 2024– September 2025

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

EURUSD, September 16, 2025.
Current Price: 1.17950

EUR/USD

Weekly

Trend direction

UP

Resistance 3

1.2200

Resistance 2

1.2000

Resistance 1

1.1900

Support 1

1.1700

Support 2

1.1670

Support 3

1.1650

Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1

EUR/USD

Pivot Points

Resistance 3

Resistance 2

Resistance 1

Support 1

Support 2

Support 3

Profit or loss in $

4,050

2,050

1,050

-950

-1,250

-1,450

Profit or loss in €²

3,435

1,738

890

-806

-1,060

-1,230

Profit or loss in £²

2,973

1,505

771

-697

-917

-1,064

Profit or loss in C$²

5,577

2,823

1,446

-1,308

-1,721

-1,997

  1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 000 units
  2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 08:50 (GMT+1) 16/09/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit

  • You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
  • Trailing stop technique could protect the profit
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