GBP/USD Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
CENTRAL BANKS' INTEREST RATE DECISIONS: US FEDERAL RESERVE & BANK OF ENGLAND
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE CUT DECISION. PRESS CONFERENCE AT 19:30 GMT+1. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to be cut to 4.25% on Wednesday, September 17, 2025. The Federal Reserve faces growing pressure to ease policy as the U.S. labor market shows clear signs of weakness. This could put negative pressure on the US dollar and, in turn, support the GBP/USD price.
- THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 18 AT 12:00 GMT+1: BANK OF ENGLAND INTEREST RATE DECISION. With the Bank of England’s base rate currently at 4.00%, investors expect no changes on Thursday and will watch for signs that policymakers could slow the pace of further cuts. A cautious approach or signals of holding rates higher for longer could strengthen the pound and provide upward momentum for GBP/USD.
EVENTS:
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 7:00 GMT+1: UK INFLATION (CPI) (AUGUST). A stronger inflation reading would ease pressure on the Bank of England to cut rates quickly, so a higher-than-expected CPI could lift the pound and support an uptrend in GBP/USD.
- FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 19 AT 7:00 GMT+1: UK RETAIL SALES (AUGUST). Stronger retail sales could signal resilient consumer demand, easing concerns about a slowdown in the UK economy. A solid reading could lift the pound and add upward momentum to GBP/USD.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- SUPPORT AREA: 1.3500 – 1.3400. GBP/USD has tested the area between 1.3500 and 1.3400 several times since May 2025, positioning as a mid-term support area.
- CURRENT UPTREND (SINCE JANUARY 2025): The black trend line, describing the uptrend, is depicted on the chart below. The GBP/USD currency pair has tested levels between 1.21 and 1.22 in January, and since then, it has been moving above this uptrend line. However, there remains a risk of a potential breakout below this level if market conditions change.
- 20-, 50-, AND 100-DAILY MOVING AVERAGE POINT TO UPTREND: GBP/USD currency pair has recently traded above the 20-, 50-, and 100-Daily Moving Average, pointing to an ongoing uptrend. However, this trend can also change if prices fall below the 20-, 50-, and 100-Daily Moving Average.
GRAPH (Daily): March 2025 – September 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GBPUSD, September 16, 2025.
Current Price: 1.3620
|
GBP/USD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1.4000 |
|
|
1.3850 |
|
|
1.3750 |
|
|
1.3500 |
|
|
1.3470 |
|
|
1.3450 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
GBP/USD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
3,800 |
2,300 |
1,300 |
-1,200 |
-1,500 |
-1,700 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
3,223 |
1,950 |
1,102 |
-1,018 |
-1,272 |
-1,442 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
2,789 |
1,688 |
954 |
-881 |
-1,101 |
-1,248 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
5,233 |
3,167 |
1,790 |
-1,652 |
-2,065 |
-2,341 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100.000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 8:40 (GMT+1) 16/9/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.