EUR/USD Weekly Special Report Based on 1 Lot Calculation:
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
- LONGER-TERM UPTREND: Since March 2025, EUR/USD has been moving in a clear uptrend, supported by the rising trendline (black). The pair is currently trading above this trendline, confirming that rising momentum remains intact.
- KEY MOVING AVERAGE SUPPORTS: EUR/USD remains above major moving averages. The 20-day (red) and 50-day (blue) are sloping higher, providing a layer of support beneath the short-term trend. The 100-day (green) continues its steady rise, underscoring the broader upside structure. Price holding above all three moving averages keeps the upside momentum intact.
- ANALYST OPINION: JP Morgan forecasts 1.20 by the end of 2025 and 1.22 in early 2026. UBS forecasts 1.23.
GRAPH (Daily): March 2025– September 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
EVENTS:
- THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 25 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) (Q2) Final Reading. GDP measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced in the economy. The Q1 final reading came in at -0.5%. Analysts now expect Q2 growth to rebound with a 3.3% increase. A weaker-than-expected result could raise expectations for further Fed rate cuts by the end of 2025, adding pressure on the U.S. dollar.
- FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 26 AT 13:30 GMT+1: U.S. PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE (PCE) PRICE INDEX (AUGUST). The PCE Price Index tracks the average increase in prices for all domestic personal consumption and is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. The July reading came in at 2.6%. A softer than expected print could heighten expectations of additional rate cuts by end of the year, which would likely weigh on the U.S. dollar.
- FRIDAY, OCTOBER 3 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US NONFARM PAYROLLS (NFP) AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (SEPTEMBER). The US labor market data remains one of the most important indicators used by the US Fed, which could potentially signal when new interest rate cuts may be implemented. The unemployment rate held above 4% in August, at 4.3%, while Nonfarm Payrolls rose just 22K, far below expectations of 79K. Another weak reading could increase pressure on the U.S. dollar.
EURUSD, September 24, 2025.
Current Price: 1.1748
|
EUR/USD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1.2000 |
|
|
1.1900 |
|
|
1.1850 |
|
|
1.1650 |
|
|
1.1670 |
|
|
1.1650 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
EUR/USD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
2,520 |
1,520 |
1,020 |
-980 |
-780 |
-980 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
2,145 |
1,294 |
868 |
-834 |
-664 |
-834 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
1,871 |
1,129 |
757 |
-728 |
-579 |
-728 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
3,271 |
1,973 |
1,324 |
-1,272 |
-1,013 |
-1,272 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 12:30(GMT+1) 24/09/2025.
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than the suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit