GOLD weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA-UKRAINE PEACE TALKS IN JEOPARDY
- EVENT (SEPTEMBER 5): US PRESIDENT TRUMP EXPECTS OUTCOMES ON A POTENTIAL PUTIN-ZELENSKY MEETING THIS WEEK (ESTIMATED UNTIL SEPTEMBER 5). President Donald Trump said on August 22 he will give Russian President Vladimir Putin two weeks, further extending his deadline for potential consequences against Russia, after urging the Russian leader to meet with his Ukrainian counterpart in hopes of ending the war. His latest comments come as the momentum around peace talks has stalled, with no sign that the bilateral meeting the White House has pushed is happening. Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said earlier that there were no plans for a meeting between the two leaders.
OTHER GEOPOLITICS
- BREAKING (CHINA, SEPTEMBER 3): NORTH KOREAN LEADER KIM JONG UN BACKS RUSSIA’S WAR EFFORTS AND SEALS DEEP PARTNERSHIP WITH RUSSIA’S PRESIDENT VLADIMIR PUTIN. Rising geopolitical tensions increase safe-haven demand for Gold. Following the Chinese military parade where 20 world leaders attended, Kim pledged “full support” for Russia’s military – calling it a fraternal duty. The two leaders flanked Chinese President Xi Jinping in a rare Cold–War style showcase that broadcast a unified front against Western powers. The event emphasized North Korea’s role alongside Russia and China in shaping a multipolar security order that challenges U.S. and Western Influence.
US FEDERAL RESERVE AND OTHER EVENTS:
- FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 5 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US NONFARM PAYROLLS (NFP) AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (AUGUST). The US labor market data remains one of the most important indicators, used by the US Fed, that could potentially predict if and when there could be new interest rate cuts. The US unemployment rate remained above 4%, last coming in at 4.2% for July.
- WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE DECISION. After some weaker-than-expected employment market data in July and downward revisions to June figures, markets have increased their expectations for an interest rate cut in September, expected to be followed by another in December. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to decline to 4% by the end of 2025.
ANALYST OPINION:
- GOLDMAN SACHS: THE BANK MAINTAINED GOLD PRICE TARGETS AT $3,700 END-2025 AND $4,000 MID-2026.
- BANK OF AMERICA: ANALYSTS EXPECT GOLD TO REACH A RECORD $4,000 BY THE FIRST HALF OF 2026.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND PRICE ACTION:
- LONG–TERM UPTREND: Gold price has steadily kept above its long term dark blue trendline, indicating that the price is in an uptrend since at least January 2025. The prices could also move in the opposite direction if the price falls below the long–term trendline.
- GOLD PRICE ABOVE ITS MOVING AVERAGES: Gold price has remained above its 100-, 50-, and 20-day moving averages, indicating a potential uptrend. The trend could reverse if Gold goes below these averages.
GRAPH (Daily): February 2025 – September 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GOLD, SEPTEMBER 04, 2025.
Current Price: 3,540
|
GOLD |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
3,800 |
|
|
3,700 |
|
|
3,600 |
|
|
3,500 |
|
|
3,480 |
|
|
3,460 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
GOLD |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
26,000 |
16,000 |
6,000 |
-4,000 |
-6,000 |
-8,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
22,306 |
13,727 |
5,148 |
-3,432 |
-5,148 |
-6,863 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
19,329 |
11,895 |
4,461 |
-2,974 |
-4,461 |
-5,947 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
35,908 |
22,097 |
8,287 |
-5,524 |
-8,287 |
-11,049 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT+1) 04/09/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.