Nvidia (#NVDA) Weekly Special Report based on 1 Lot Calculation:
THE COMPANY:
- NVIDIA develops and produces three-dimensional graphics processors and other related software. The company also produces graphics processing units, which are critical components when developing artificial intelligence and self-driving autonomous vehicles.
- STOCK INDEX PARTICIPATION (USA100, USA500, USA30): NVIDIA stock belongs to the three most important US stock indices, including the NASDAQ 100 (USA100) index, the S&P 500 (USA500) index, and the DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL 30 (USA30).
- NVIDIA’S LATEST PRODUCT PIPELINE FOR THE AI CHIP SECTOR: Nvidia plans to release a new family of AI chips yearly. The current pipeline includes the Blackwell chip, released in 2024; The Blackwell Ultra, set for release by the end of 2025; The Rubin chip, set for 2026; and the Rubin Ultra, set for 2027.
NVIDIA: FINANCIALS
- EVENT (WEDNESDAY, MAY 28, AFTERMARKET): Q1 EARNINGS REPORT. Nvidia is expected to print $43.21 billion in revenue (a new record high), up 10% from Q4’s $39.33 billion, and up around 66% from the same period last year ($26.04 billion). Nvidia is expected to print $22.840 billion in net income (a new record high), up around 3% from Q4’s $22.11 billion and up around 53% from the same period last year ($14.9 billion).
- LAST TIME (FEBRUARY 26, 2025): Q4 EARNINGS REPORT. REVENUE (BEAT): $39.33 Billion vs. $38.08 Billion Expected. Revenue increased 78% in the quarter from the same period last year. NET INCOME (BEAT): $22.11 billion vs. $20.98 Expected. Net income rose to $22.11 billion from $12.90 billion a year ago, up by 71%.
- NVIDIA IS EXPECTED TO KEEP GROWING UNTIL 2030: Nvidia is expected to print an annual revenue figure of $196.59 billion in 2025, up around 57% from 2024’s $124.75 billion and that number is expected to grow to $342.99 billion in 2030. Nvidia’s net income is expected to print $108.38 billion in 2025, up around 52% from 2024’s $71.19 billion and that number is expected to grow to $178.93 billion in 2030. (Data Source: Bloomberg Terminal).
Source: Bloomberg Terminal
Source: Bloomberg Terminal
NVIDIA: NEWS
- BREAKING (MAY 13): NVIDIA CEO JENSEN HUANG JOINED US PRESIDENT TRUMP IN SAUDI ARABIA; NVIDIA SECURED A.I. DEALS WITH SAUDI’S A.I. COMPANY, HUMAIN. Nvidia said it will sell hundreds of thousands of AI chips in Saudi Arabia, with a first tranche of 18,000 of its newest "Blackwell" chips going to Humain, an AI startup just launched by Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund. (Source: Reuters)
- NVIDIA TO MAKE DEALS WITH U.A.E. AS US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP VISITS (May 13 – May 16): U.S. Considers Deal to export advanced Nvidia A.I. Chips to U.A.E. The Trump administration is negotiating a deal allowing the U.A.E. to import over 1 million advanced Nvidia chips. The chips would support U.S. data center operations in the Gulf and benefit Abu Dhabi’s G42 AI firm. (Source: Bloomberg)
NVIDIA: MARKET SHARE
- NVIDIA HOLDS AROUND 80% OF A.I. CHIP INDUSTRY. Mizuho Securities estimates that Nvidia controls between 70% and 95% of the market for AI chip, while Nasdaq.com reported that Nvidia holds 80% market share. Other rivals such as AMD, Intel, Broadcom, Alphabet or Amazon seem to be still far behind Nvidia.
NVIDIA: PRICE ACTION
- NVIDIA HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $152.63 ON NOVEMBER 21, 2024. The stock currently trades at $131 and if a full recovery takes place, the stock could see an upside of around 17%. However, the stock price could also decline.
- ANALYST OPINION: Wells Fargo forecasts $185, JPMorgan forecasts $170, Morgan Stanley forecasts $160, Wedbush forecasts $175, Barclays forecasts $155.
#NVDA, May 14, 2025
Current Price: 131
NVIDIA |
Weekly |
Trend direction |
|
185 |
|
170 |
|
150 |
|
115 |
|
113 |
|
110 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
NVIDIA |
||||||
Pivot Points |
||||||
Profit or loss in $ |
54,000 |
39,000 |
19,000 |
-16,000 |
-18,000 |
-21,000 |
Profit or loss in €2 |
48,105 |
34,742 |
16,926 |
-14,253 |
-16,035 |
-18,707 |
Profit or loss in £2 |
40,504 |
29,253 |
14,251 |
-12,001 |
-13,501 |
-15,752 |
Profit or loss in C$2 |
75,165 |
54,286 |
26,447 |
-22,271 |
-25,055 |
-29,231 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 1000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 9:45 (GMT+1) 14/05/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.