Palladium

Palladium weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

PALLADIUM USE AND MARKET SHARE:

• Palladium is mostly used in catalytic converters by the car industry to reduce harmful gas emissions, while tightening regulations are forcing automakers to put more Palladium into each vehicle, which in turn could keep the demand outlook positive. Palladium has also been used in fuel cells to generate power.
• MARKET SHARE (PRODUCERS): Russia is the largest producer, holding 43% of the market, while South Africa is the second largest with 33.00% of the market. Canada is third on the list with 9.5% of the global production.
• MARKET SHARE (CONSUMERS): China is the largest Palladium consumer with 31%, while Europe and North America (USA) hold 20% each. Japan stands at 11%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

• CURRENT UPTREND CHANNEL: Palladium has been moving upward within a consistent uptrend channel since early April 2025.
• SUPPORT AREA: $1,000 - $900. According to the daily chart below, Palladium has maintained a strong support area in the region between $1,000 and $900, which has been the case since November 2023.
• DAILY MOVING AVERAGES POINT TO UPTREND: Palladium prices have recently traded above the 20-, 50-, and 100-Daily Moving Averages, pointing to an ongoing uptrend. However, Palladium prices can also change their trend if prices fall below the 20-, 50-, and 100-Daily Moving Averages.
• 14-DAY RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX (RSI) POINTS TO UPTREND: The index has been upward-sloping since March this year, and it currently trades above the neutral point of 50, indicating an uptrend. Although this could change should the index drop back below the neutral point of 50.
• PALLADIUM HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $3,409 (MARCH 2022). Palladium trades around $1,140, and if the price of Palladium moves to the level of $3,409, this would be around 200% of a price change. However, the price could decline.

GRAPH (Daily): November 2023 – June 2025

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

US-CHINA TRADE WAR

• THURSDAY, JUNE 26: U.S. AND CHINA REACH NEW TRADE AGREEMENT: President Trump announced the signing of a new trade deal with China, calling it “a great deal for both countries.” While specific terms are still emerging, the agreement reportedly covers agriculture, manufacturing, and digital trade, and includes a gradual reduction of tariffs. For palladium, the easing of trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies could boost market sentiment and industrial demand, particularly in the automotive sector, which is a key driver of palladium consumption.

EVENTS (USA):

• TUESDAY, JULY 1 AT 14:45 GMT+1: US MANUFACTURING PMI (JUNE). This index reflects the health of the U.S. manufacturing sector and serves as a key indicator for industrial demand. A stronger-than-expected reading could support palladium prices by signaling improved production activity and potentially higher demand for vehicles, where palladium is widely used in catalytic converters. (Previous: 52)

EVENTS (CHINA):

• MONDAY, JUNE 30 AT 02:30 GMT+1: CHINA MANUFACTURING PMI (JUNE). The index that measures the Chinese manufacturing activity grew in May to 49.5, up from April's 49. If the trend continues in June, Palladium prices are expected to see some upward pressure as growing manufacturing activity in China, the largest palladium consumer in the world, improves the demand outlook for Palladium. (Previous: 49.5)

PALLADIUM, June 27, 2025
Current Price: 1,140

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot¹

PALLADIUM

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 9:45 (GMT+1) 27/6/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

• You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
• Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.