Palladium weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
PALLADIUM USE AND MARKET SHARE:
- Palladium is mostly used in catalytic converters by the car industry to reduce harmful gas emissions, while tightening regulations are forcing automakers to put more Palladium into each vehicle, which in turn could keep the demand outlook positive. Palladium has also been used in fuel cells to generate power.
- MARKET SHARE (PRODUCERS): Russia is the largest producer, holding 43% of the market, while South Africa is the second largest with 33.00% of the market. Canada is third on the list with 9.5% of the global production.
- MARKET SHARE (CONSUMERS): China is the largest Palladium consumer with 31%, while Europe and North America (USA) hold 20% each. Japan stands at 11%.
EVENTS:
- FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10 AT 22:00 GMT+1: US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP TO MAKE ANNOUNCEMENTS FROM THE OVAL OFFICE. US President Trump has been scheduled to speak on Friday, with no agenda on what he will address yet released. Possible topics could be related to Nobel Peace Prize announcements, the Israel-Hamas deal, the ongoing US government shutdown, or the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
- MONDAY, OCTOBER 13 AT 05:00 GMT+1: CHINA TRADE BALANCE AND EXPORT/IMPORT DATA (SEPTEMBER). A stronger-than-expected trade surplus, particularly if driven by resilient industrial export and import figures, could reinforce expectations of steady Chinese palladium demand, support prices, and potentially extend the recent rebound. Conversely, a weaker outcome could pressure prices lower. China remains one of the world’s largest palladium consumers, making this data especially significant.
- WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 15 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US INFLATION (CPI) (SEPTEMBER). Despite the ongoing US government shutdown, latest reports have said that US inflation data could still be released, with the office workers expected to work harder to get the data out. In August, US inflation rose to 2.90%, up from July’s 2.70%. This would be the last inflation report before the Fed’s interest rate decision on October 29.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- UPTREND SINCE APRIL 2025: As shown in the daily chart below, palladium has been in a steady uptrend, supported by a rising uptrend channel since April 2025. However, the price could decline.
- PALLADIUM PRICE ABOVE 20-,50-, AND 100-DAILY MOVING AVERAGES: Palladium price has remained above its 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages, indicating a potential uptrend. The trend could reverse if Palladium price goes below these averages.
- PALLADIUM HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $3,409 (March 2022): Palladium price has traded around $1,430, and if a full recovery takes place, the price of palladium could see an upside of around 138%. Although the price could decline as well.
GRAPH (Daily): January 2025 – October 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
Palladium, October 10, 2025.
Current Price: 1,430
|
PALLADIUM |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
1,700 |
|
|
1,600 |
|
|
1,520 |
|
|
1,350 |
|
|
1,340 |
|
|
1,330 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
PALLADIUM |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
27,000 |
17,000 |
9,000 |
-8,000 |
-9,000 |
-10,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
23,334 |
14,692 |
7,778 |
-6,914 |
-7,778 |
-8,642 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
20,325 |
12,797 |
6,775 |
-6,022 |
-6,775 |
-7,528 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
37,865 |
23,841 |
12,622 |
-11,219 |
-12,622 |
-14,024 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 08:00 (GMT+1) 10/10/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.