Palladium weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
PALLADIUM USE AND MARKET SHARE:
- Palladium is mostly used in catalytic converters by the car industry to reduce harmful gas emissions, while tightening regulations are forcing automakers to put more Palladium into each vehicle, which in turn could keep the demand outlook positive. Palladium has also been used in fuel cells to generate power.
- MARKET SHARE (PRODUCERS): Russia is the largest producer, holding 43% of the market, while South Africa is the second largest with 33.00% of the market. Canada is third on the list with 9.5% of the global production.
- MARKET SHARE (CONSUMERS): China is the largest Palladium consumer with 31%, while Europe and North America (USA) hold 20% each. Japan stands at 11%.
GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA-UKRAINE CONFLICT
- BREAKING (OCTOBER 17): RUSSIA-UKRAINE PEACE DEAL STILL FAR AWAY DESPITE US PRESIDENT TRUMP-UKRAINIAN PRESIDENT ZELENSKY MEETING. According to the Financial Times, Trump pressed Zelensky to accept Russian President Vladimir Putin’s terms for ending the war, terms that essentially amount to Ukrainian surrender and include a full withdrawal from the territories still held by Ukraine in the Donbas region. President Zelensky has repeatedly said that they will not give up territories, which lowers the chances for a potential peace deal.
- EVENT (EXPECTED: THURSDAY, OCTOBER 23): HIGH LEVEL U.S.-RUSSIA MEETING LED BY US SECRETARY OF STATE MARCO RUBIO AND RUSSIAN FOREIGN MINISTER SERGEI LAVROV. President Trump said that this week, high-level talks will take place between US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov.
GEOPOLITICS: CHINA – USA TRADE
- UPCOMING: U.S. TREASURY SECRETARY SCOTT BESSENT TO MEET CHINESE VICE PREMIER HE LIFENG IN MALAYSIA (OCTOBER 20–OCTOBER 24). U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed he will meet Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng this week in Malaysia to prevent a further escalation of U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods, which President Donald Trump recently described as “unsustainable.” Any progress toward easing trade tensions could improve global growth sentiment and industrial demand, supporting palladium prices.
- US PRESIDENT TRUMP AND CHINA PRESIDENT XI MEETING STILL ON TRACK TO TAKE PLACE (OCTOBER 31 – NOVEMBER 1): The meeting is expected to take place at the APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation) Summit that will take place between October 31 and November 1 in South Korea. According to US Treasury Secretary Scot Bessent, the meeting between Trump and Xi is still expected to happen despite the recent rise in trade tensions between the USA and China.
EVENTS:
- FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US INFLATION (CPI) (SEPTEMBER). Despite the ongoing US government shutdown, latest reports have said that US inflation data could still be released, with the office workers expected to work harder to get the data out. In August, US inflation rose to 2.90%, up from July’s 2.70%. This would be the last inflation report before the Fed’s interest rate decision on October 29.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- UPTREND SINCE APRIL 2025: As shown in the daily chart below, palladium has been in a steady uptrend, supported by a rising uptrend channel since April 2025. However, the price could decline.
- PALLADIUM PRICE ABOVE 20-,50-, AND 100-DAILY MOVING AVERAGES: Palladium price has remained above its 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages, indicating a potential uptrend. The trend could reverse if Palladium price goes below these averages.
- PALLADIUM HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF $3,409 (March 2022): Palladium price has traded around $1,480, and if a full recovery takes place, the price of palladium could see an upside of around 130%. Although the price could decline as well.
GRAPH (Daily): April 2025 – October 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
Palladium, October 20, 2025.
Current Price: 1,480
|
PALLADIUM |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
2,000 |
|
|
1,800 |
|
|
1,600 |
|
|
1,370 |
|
|
1,330 |
|
|
1,300 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
PALLADIUM |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
52,000 |
32,000 |
12,000 |
-11,000 |
-15,000 |
-18,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
44,628 |
27,463 |
10,299 |
-9,440 |
-12,873 |
-15,448 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
38,765 |
23,855 |
8,946 |
-8,200 |
-11,182 |
-13,419 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
72,958 |
44,897 |
16,836 |
-15,433 |
-21,046 |
-25,255 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:30 (GMT+1) 20/10/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.