SILVER

SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:

• UPTREND CHANNEL: Silver prices have continued trading within the uptrend channel since April 2025.
• DAILY MOVING AVERAGES POINT TO POSITIVE SENTIMENT. Silver prices have recently return above the 50- Day Moving Average, while trading above the 100-Day Moving Average since May 2025. Although, sentiment could change if prices fall back below the 50 and 100- Day Moving Averages.
• ALL-TIME HIGH PRICE: $49.80. Silver jumped to $49.80 in 2011, during the debt crisis in Europe. Currently, Silver trades around $37.40, and if a full recovery is made, this could offer an upside potential of around 33%. However, the price could decline.

GRAPH (Daily): March 2025 – August 2025

Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results

GEOPOLITICS: RUSSIA – USA/UKRAINE CONFLICT

• EVENT (FRIDAY, AUGUST 8): US PRESIDENT TRUMP CONFIRMED WANTS A CEASFIRE DEAL BETWEEN RUSSIA AND UKRAINE BY AUGUST 8; OTHERWISE, THE USA WILL IMPOSE NEW SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA AND SECONDARY TARIFFS ON COUNTRIES THAT TRADE WITH RUSSIA. U.S. President Donald Trump has made clear that he wants a deal to end Russia’s war in Ukraine by August 8. Trump has threatened sanctions on both Russia and buyers of its exports unless progress is made. Trump reiterated that, without a deal, his administration would impose 100% secondary tariffs on countries continuing to buy Russian exports.
• BREAKING (FRIDAY, AUGUST 1): US PRESIDENT TRUMP DEPLOYS NUCLEAR SUBMARINES. Us President Trump said the US Military positioned two nuclear submarines “in the appropriate regions” in response to “highly provocative” comments by Russia’s Dmitry Medvedev. Medvedev has recently threatened the US in response to Trump’s ultimatums to Moscow to agree to a ceasefire in Ukraine or face tough sanctions.

EVENTS:

• TUESDAY, AUGUST 5 AT 13:00 GMT+1: US PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP SPEAKS. Mr. Trump is expected keep pressure high on Federal Reserve and Chair Jerome Powell in order to push them to cut the benchmark interest rates. Lower rates tend to have negative impact on the US dollar, which in turn could support the silver price.
• TUESDAY, AUGUST 12 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US INFLATION (CPI) (JULY). A lower than expected reading should be postive for silver, because it could point to the FED cutting interest rates sooner and more aggresively. This index measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. The data for the previous month (June) came in at 2.7%.
• FRIDAY, AUGUST 15 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US RETAIL SALES (JULY). A lower than expected reading could prove positive for silver, because it could motivate the FED to cut interest rates to stimulate economic activity. This data measures the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. The number for the previous month (June) stood at 3.92%.

CENTRAL BANKS:

• WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE DECISION. After some weaker-than-expected employment market data in July and downward revisions to June figures, markets have increased their expectations for an interest rate cut in September, likely to be followed by another in December. The benchmark interest rate currently stands at 4.5%, and according to market expectations, it is expected to decline to 4% by the end of 2025. This could put negative pressure on the US dollar, and in turn support the silver price.

SILVER, August 5, 2025.
Current Price: 37.40

Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot¹

1. 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT+1) 05/08/2025

There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.

• You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
• Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.