SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
EVENTS:
- FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 26 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE (PCE) (AUGUST). This inflation data is preferred by the US Federal Reserve when communicating consumer price changes and expectations. Therefore, if data shows that inflation remains stable and it does not rise above certain ranges, then investors could continue expecting more interest rate cuts by the Fed in 2025. This is expected to put negative pressure on the US dollar, supporting silver prices, on the other hand.
- FRIDAY, OCTOBER 3 AT 13:30 GMT+1: US NONFARM PAYROLLS (NFP) AND UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (SEPTEMBER). The US labor market data remains one of the most important indicators used by the US Fed, which could potentially signal when new interest rate cuts may be implemented. The unemployment rate held above 4% in August, at 4.3%. Another weak reading could increase pressure on the U.S. dollar, supporting silver prices.
FEDERAL RESERVE:
- BREAKING (SEPTEMBER 17): US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT INTEREST RATE TO 4.25% FROM 4.50%, ITS FIRST INTEREST RATE CUT SINCE DECEMBER 2024. The Federal Reserve policymakers said they expect to see 2 more rate cuts by the end of 2025, to slash current rates to 3.75%.
- NEXT FEDERAL RESERVE MEETING AND INTEREST RATE DECISION: October 29. Interest rates are expected to be further cut to 4.00%.
- DECEMBER 10: US Federal Reserve is expected to finish the 2025 year by cutting the rates to 3.75% on December 10.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- PYSCHOLOGICAL SUPPORT AREA: $40 - $42. After hitting fresh 14-year highs ($45.202), silver prices have remained above the area defined by of $40 - $42, which has now become its next psychological support. Silver was last trading around $45.
- UPTREND SINCE APRIL 2025: After the March-April price pullback, silver prices have since been trading in uptrend, as depicted by the daily chart below and the solid black uptrend line on the same chart. Since the beginning of 2025, silver prices have risen by around 54%.
- ALL-TIME HIGH PRICE: $49.80. Silver jumped to $49.80 in 2011, during the debt crisis in Europe. Currently, silver trades around $45.00, and if a full recovery is made, this could offer an upside potential of around 11%. However, the price could decline.
GRAPH (Daily): February 2025 – September 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
Silver, September 26, 2025.
Current Price: 45.00
|
Silver |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
49.80 |
|
|
48.00 |
|
|
46.80 |
|
|
43.40 |
|
|
43.20 |
|
|
43.00 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
SILVER |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
48,000 |
30,000 |
18,000 |
-16,000 |
-18,000 |
-20,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
41,097 |
25,686 |
15,411 |
-13,699 |
-15,411 |
-17,124 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
35,949 |
22,468 |
13,481 |
-11,983 |
-13,481 |
-14,979 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
66,939 |
41,837 |
25,102 |
-22,313 |
-25,102 |
-27,891 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 9:15 (GMT+1) 26/9/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.