SILVER weekly special report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
USA: GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN
- BREAKING (WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 1 AT 05:00 AM GMT+1): US GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN BEGAN WITH NO DEAL IN SIGHT. According to Reuters, U.S. President Donald Trump and his Democratic opponents made no progress in ending the government shutdown. Without passage of funding legislation, parts of the government have remained closed since Wednesday (October 1).
SILVER MARKET PROJECTIONS:
- SILVER INSTITUTE PROJECTED A GLOBAL MARKET DEFICIT IN 2025: The Silver Institute is projecting a global market deficit for the fifth year in a row in 2025, which provides additional support to silver prices from supply-side pressures.
US FEDERAL RESERVE:
- BREAKING (SEPTEMBER 17): US FEDERAL RESERVE CUT INTEREST RATE TO 4.25% FROM 4.50%, ITS FIRST INTEREST RATE CUT SINCE DECEMBER 2024. The Federal Reserve policymakers said they expect to see 2 more rate cuts by the end of 2025, to slash current rates to 3.75%.
- NEXT FEDERAL RESERVE MEETING AND INTEREST RATE DECISION: October 29. Interest rates are expected to be further cut to 4.00%.
- DECEMBER 10: The US Federal Reserve is expected to finish the year 2025 by cutting the rates to 3.75% on December 10.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- SUPPORT AREA: $49 - $48. After hitting a fresh all-time high ($51.20), silver prices have remained above the area defined by $49 - $48, which has now become its next psychological support. Silver was last trading above $50. However, there remains a risk of a potential breakout below this level if market conditions change.
- UPTREND SINCE APRIL 2025: After the March-April price pullback, silver prices have since been trading in an uptrend, as depicted by the daily chart below and the solid black uptrend line on the same chart. Since the beginning of 2025, silver prices have risen by around 77%.
- ALL-TIME HIGH PRICE: $51.20 (October 9, 2025). Currently, silver trades above $50, hitting fresh all-time highs after it has recently broken through the previous all-time high set in 2011 ($49.80).
- ANALYSTS’ OPINION: CITIGROUP forecasts $55; UBS forecasts $55.
GRAPH (Daily): March 2025 – October 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
Silver, October 9, 2025.
Current Price: 50.30
|
Silver |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
57.00 |
|
|
55.00 |
|
|
52.00 |
|
|
48.70 |
|
|
48.40 |
|
|
48.00 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
SILVER |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
67,000 |
47,000 |
17,000 |
-16,000 |
-19,000 |
-23,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €2 |
57,679 |
40,461 |
14,635 |
-13,774 |
-16,357 |
-19,800 |
|
Profit or loss in £2 |
50,055 |
35,113 |
12,701 |
-11,954 |
-14,195 |
-17,183 |
|
Profit or loss in C$2 |
93,417 |
65,531 |
23,703 |
-22,308 |
-26,491 |
-32,068 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10,000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 13:35 (GMT+1) 09/10/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.