USA30 Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
USA30 INDEX:
- WHAT IS A STOCK INDEX: According to Investopedia.com, a stock index measures the price performance of a basket (group) of stocks using a standardized metric and methodology. The Dow Jones (USA30) is one of the world's best-known indexes and one of the most commonly used benchmarks for the stock market.
- COMPONENTS: USA30 includes 30 companies such as Amazon, Boeing, JPMorgan, Nike, Walmart, Coca-Cola and etc.
GEOPOLITICS: TRADE PROGRESS
- BREAKING NEWS (MAY 25): US PRESIDENT TRUMP DELAYED 50% TARIFFS ON THE E.U. UNTIL JULY 9. U.S. President Donald Trump backed away from his threat to slap 50% tariffs on imports from the European Union on June 1, agreeing to extend the deadline until July 9 for talks between the USA and EU.
- BREAKING (MONDAY, MAY 12): U.S. AND CHINA AGREED TO REDUCE TARIFFS ON EACH OTHER FOR THE NEXT 90 DAYS. United States cuts tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30% for 90 days. China lowers tariffs from 125% to 10% for all US products next 90 days.
EVENTS (Q1 EARNINGS CALENDAR):
- NVIDIA: WEDNESDAY, 28/05/2025 – AFTERMARKET
Q1 EARNINGS REPORT. Nvidia is expected to print $43.21 billion in revenue (a new record high), up 10% from Q4’s $39.33 billion, and up around 66% from the same period last year ($26.04 billion). Nvidia is expected to print $22.840 billion in net income (a new record high), up around 3% from Q4’s $22.11 billion and up around 53% from the same period last year ($14.9 billion).
CENTRAL BANKS:
- US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE AT 4.5%. The US Federal Reserve decided to cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.50% points in September, 0.25% points in November, and 0.25% in December. The bank expects to cut rates two more times in 2025 to slash its benchmark rate to 3.9% by the end of 2025. The bank expects rates to fall to 3.40% in 2026 and further down to 3.10% in 2027.
US INFLATION CONTINUED TO FALL: US inflation (CPI) for the month of April came in at 2.3%, its lowest rate since February 2021. April data came in lower than the expected 2.4% and lower than the one in March (2.4%). Falling inflation could encourage the Fed to consider resuming its interest rate cut cycle in 2025. - NEXT FED INTEREST RATE DECISION: June 18, 2025. Markets have recently raised their expectations for three interest rate cuts in 2025, which could eventually bring rates down to 3.75% from the current 4.5% (Source: CMEGROUP.COM).
PRICE ACTION:
- USA30 INDEX HIT AN ALL-TIME HIGH OF 45,224 (JANUARY 31, 2025). The index has traded around 42,000, and if a full recovery takes place, USA30 could rise around 8%. Although the index could decline in price as well.
USA30, May 26, 2025
Current Price: 42,000
|
USA30 |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
45,200 |
|
|
44,000 |
|
|
42,900 |
|
|
41,150 |
|
|
40,800 |
|
|
40,500 |
Example of calculation base on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
USA30 |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
32,000 |
20,000 |
9,000 |
-8,500 |
-12,000 |
-15,000 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
28,118 |
17,574 |
7,908 |
-7,469 |
-10,544 |
-13,180 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
23,598 |
14,749 |
6,637 |
-6,268 |
-8,849 |
-11,062 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
43,889 |
27,430 |
12,344 |
-11,658 |
-16,458 |
-20,573 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 10 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:00 (GMT+1) 26/05/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.