USD/JPY Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
TEHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- DOWNTREND CHANNEL: As depicted by the daily chart below, the USDJPY has kept trading within the longer-term blue- lined downtrend channel, confirming its longer-term trend is down.
- WEEKLY MOVING AVERAGES POINT TO DOWNTREND: USDJPY have recently traded below the 20- and 50- Week Moving Averages, pointing to an ongoing downtrend. However, USDJPY can also change their trend, if prices rise above the 20- and 50- Week Moving Averages.
- 14- WEEK RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX (RSI) STAYS BELOW 50: The chart below shows that the 14- week relative strength index (RSI) remains in downtrend, floating below the break-even point of 50, towards the limit of 30.
GRAPH (Weekly): Jun 2024 – June 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
GEOPILITICS:
- MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS RISE AHEAD OF 6TH ROUND OF U.S. – IRAN NUCLEAR TALKS ON SUNDAY (JUNE 15). A CBS News reporter said that US officials have been told Israel is fully ready to launch an operation into Iran. This is part of the reason the US advised some Americans to leave the region. The US anticipates Iran could retaliate on certain US sites in Iraq. Iranian military and government officials have already met to discuss their response to a potential Israeli strike, according to a senior Iranian official. The official said that Tehran had devised a response plan that would involve an immediate counterstrike on Israel with hundreds of ballistic missiles.
CENTRAL BANKS:
- TUESDAY, JUNE 17, AT 04:00 GMT+1: BANK OF JAPAN (BOJ) INTEREST RATE DECISION. The Bank of Japan will hold its next policy meeting next week. The market unanimously expects that rates will not be raised (0.5%) at this meeting, but a hike is anticipated at the following meeting in July. On Tuesday (June 10), BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated that the Bank is ready to continue raising rates if inflation keeps rising.
- WEDNESDAY, JUNE 18 AT 19:00 GMT+1: FED INTEREST RATE DECISION. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.5% in May, but it is expected to cut rates to 4.00% or lower by the end of 2025.
EVENTS (USA):
- THURSDAY, JUNE 12, AT 13:30 GMT+1: US PRODUCER PRICE INDEX (PPI) (MAY): A lower-than-expected reading could be positive for Japanese yen, as it will motivate the FED to cut interest rates more aggressively. The PPI Index measures the change in the price of goods sold by manufacturers. Data for the previous month came in at -0.5% which was lower than the month before (0%).
USDJPY, JUNE 12, 2025
Current Price: 143.90
|
USD/JPY |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
145.50 |
|
|
145.20 |
|
|
145.00 |
|
|
142.70 |
|
|
142.00 |
|
|
141.00 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
USD/JPY |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
-1,113 |
-904 |
-765 |
835 |
1,321 |
2,017 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
-964 |
-784 |
-663 |
723 |
1,145 |
1,748 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
-821 |
-667 |
-564 |
616 |
975 |
1,487 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
-1,520 |
-1,235 |
-1,045 |
1,140 |
1,805 |
2,755 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100.000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 11:00 (GMT+1) 12/06/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.