USD/JPY Weekly Special Report based on 1.00 Lot Calculation:
GEOPILITICS:
- MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS RISE: Israel has carried out strikes on Iran, targeting its nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders at the start of what it warned would be a prolonged operation to prevent Iran from building an atomic weapon. On the other hand, Iranian missiles have struck Israel as it has been the case since since Friday (June 13) night.
EVENTS:
- WEDNESDAY, JUNE 18 AT 19:00 GMT+1: US FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST RATE DECISION. The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.5% in May, but it is expected to cut rates to 4.00% or lower by the end of 2025. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will host a press conference same day at 19:30 GMT+1 and more signals to what could Fed next do can be expected.
TEHNICAL ANALYSIS:
- DOWNTREND CHANNEL: As depicted by the weekly chart below, the USDJPY has kept trading within the longer-term blue- lined downtrend channel, confirming its longer-term trend is down.
- WEEKLY MOVING AVERAGES POINT TO DOWNTREND: USDJPY have recently traded below the 20- and 50- Week Moving Averages, pointing to an ongoing downtrend. However, USDJPY can also change their trend, if prices rise above the 20- and 50- Week Moving Averages.
- 14- WEEK RELATIVE STRENGTH INDEX (RSI) STAYS BELOW 50: The chart below shows that the 14- week relative strength index (RSI) remains in downtrend, floating below the break-even point of 50, towards the limit of 30.
GRAPH (Weekly): Jun 2024 – June 2025
Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
USDJPY, JUNE 17, 2025
Current Price: 144.90
|
USD/JPY |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
146.50 |
|
|
146.20 |
|
|
146.00 |
|
|
143.50 |
|
|
143.00 |
|
|
142.50 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1.00 Lot1
|
USD/JPY |
||||||
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
-1,105 |
-897 |
-759 |
966 |
1,312 |
1,657 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
-956 |
-777 |
-657 |
837 |
1,135 |
1,434 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
-815 |
-663 |
-561 |
714 |
968 |
1,223 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
-1,499 |
-1,218 |
-1,030 |
1,311 |
1,780 |
2,248 |
- 1.00 lot is equivalent of 100.000 units
- Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:30 (GMT+1) 17/06/2025
There is a possibility to use Stop-Loss and Take-Profit.
- You may wish to consider closing your position in profit, even if it is lower than suggested one.
- Trailing stop technique could protect the profit.