Tesla (#TSLA) weekly uptrend opportunity based On 1 Lot Calculation:
GLOBAL EV MARKETS:
- ELECTRIC VEHICLES (EV) MAKE ONLY AROUND 9.0% OF TOTAL CAR SALES, WORTH 66.7 MILLION CARS IN 2021: The total global car market grew just 4.5% in 2021, by around 66.7 million cars. In 2020, the world sold around 63.8 million cars. The estimates say that around 6.5 million electric vehicles (EVs) were sold worldwide in 2021, up 109% from 2020. EV sales represent around 9% of all passenger car sales in 2021. The EV sector increased its market share from 4.11% in 2021 to around 9.00% off the global car sales.
- MARKET POTENTIAL: ELECTRIC VEHICLES (EV) ARE EXPECTED TO TAKE UP AROUND 50% OF GLOBAL CAR SALES BY 2030. The 2021 figures of 287.36 billion dollars are an increase of around 76% from 2020’s 160.01 billion dollars. Expecting this number to grow to 823.75 billion dollars, the EV market could be growing annually on average by 18.6%.
CHINA EV MARKETS:
- CHINA LEADS THE WAY (2021): EV MAKES AROUND 13% OF THE CAR MARKET IN CHINA, UP FROM 3.5% IN 2020: More than half of the total electric vehicles (EVs) sold worldwide last year (including plug-in hybrids) went to buyers in China. China led global EV growth in 2021 as sales nearly tripled (UP 277%) to 3.4 million (from 0.9 million in 2020). Total number of cars sold in 2021 in China was 26.28 million, and EV made around 13% of the market.
- MARKET SHARE CHINA: Tesla is the largest EV company in China, holding some 14% of the markets, followed by GM’s Wulling (~11.8%) and BYD (~10%)
- ELECTRIC VEHICLES IN CHINA ARE EXPECTED TO TAKE UP 40% OF CHINA’S CAR SALES BY 2030. Total car sales are expected to grow to 38 million in 2030, while around 15 million (or 40%) will be Electric Vehicles.
TESLA STOCK SPLIT:
- EVENT (STOCK SPLIT 3:1). STOCK SPLIT COMES INTO EFFECT AUGUST 25 PRIOR TO THE OPENING BELL. Tesla's share price will be divided by a third following its August 24 close.
- According to MarketWatch, investors view stock splits as a sign of confidence by management, because splits happen more often in stocks that have bullish momentum behind them. Splits also increase liquidity by making shares more accessible to a wider range of investors, something Amazon acknowledged when it announced its split.
- TESLA STOCK SPLIT HISTORY (AUGUST 2020): The stock rose 13.25% the very first day of the announcement (August 11, 2020). From August 11 to August 31 (when the split took effect), the stock went up by 61.18% to test back then a fresh all time high of $2317.98 a share. After the stock split took place, onwards, over the next twelve months, the stock gained 65.91%.
STATISTICS: Since 1980, the shares of companies that do stock splits are typically up 25% a year later, compared to 9% for the broader market, according to a recent study by Bank of America.
● STOCK PERFORMANCE AFTER STOCK SPLIT (SOURCES: YahooFinance, Bloomberg, Fortrade MT4):
Apple (STOCK SPLIT: 7-1 effective June 9, 2014): 3 Months: +8.69%. 6 Months: +19.26%. 12 Months: +37.00%
Tesla (STOCK SPLIT: 5-1 effective August 31, 2020): 3 Months: +28%. 6 Months: +53%. 12 Months: +65.91%
Apple (STOCK SPLIT: 4-1 effective August 31, 2020): 3 Months: -4.5%. 6 Months: +2.11%. 12 Months: +22.00%
NVidia (STOCK SPLIT: 4-1 effective July 20, 2021): 3 Months: +17.60%. 6 Months: +30%. 12 Months: -
*Please note that past performance does not guarantee future results
OTHER EVENTS AND ANALYSIS:
- EVENT (Early September): The Chinese Passenger Car Association (CPCA) will report Tesla’s August delivery figures for the Chinese market.
- Tesla China is about to launch a new, fully enhanced Model 3, powered by CATL's M3P battery, which has at least a 10% increase in battery life. A third of its cars were made by the Shanghai Factory.
- SEMI TRUCK TO START DELIVERING LATER THIS YEAR. The company has been taking orders for the truck since 2017. After the launch of Tesla Semi in 2017, PepsiCo placed one of the biggest orders for Tesla Semi 100 electric trucks to add to its fleet. The SEMI TRUCK will be followed by the CYBERTRUCK next year.
- Tesla will start charging $15,000 for the driver-assistance system it calls Full Self-Driving, raising the price of the controversial product for the second time this year. The hike for customers in North America will take effect Sept. 5
- PRICE ACTION: THE STOCK HAS HAD A DOWNWARD CORRECTION OF AROUND 50% FROM IT'S ALL- TIME HIGH OF $1243.25 (November 4, 2021). The stock had fallen to its lowest rate since 2021 to $617.11 (May 25, 2022). Tesla was last trading before the split around $891, and If a full recovery follows recent all- time highs, the stock could see an upside of around 39%.
- ANALYSTS OPINIONS: Morgan Stanley forecasts $383.3 Deutsche Bank forecasts $375. Mizuho’s forecast is $391 a share. Citigroup forecasts $424.
TESLA, August 31, 2022
Current Price: 278.00
|
TESLA |
Weekly |
|
Trend direction |
|
|
360.00 |
|
|
330.00 |
|
|
300.00 |
|
|
258.00 |
|
|
238.00 |
|
|
218.00 |
Example of calculation based on weekly trend direction for 1 Lot1
|
Pivot Points |
||||||
|
Profit or loss in $ |
82,000.00 |
52,000.00 |
22,000.00 |
-20,000.00 |
-40,000.00 |
-60,000.00 |
|
Profit or loss in €² |
82,050.87 |
52,032.26 |
22,013.65 |
-20,012.41 |
-40,024.82 |
-60,037.22 |
|
Profit or loss in £² |
70,417.09 |
44,654.74 |
18,892.39 |
-17,174.90 |
-34,349.80 |
-51,524.70 |
|
Profit or loss in C$² |
107,486.01 |
68,161.86 |
28,837.71 |
-26,216.10 |
-52,432.20 |
-78,648.30 |
1. 1 lot is equivalent of 1,000 units
2. Calculations for exchange rate used as of 10:20 (GMT+1) 31/8/2022
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